Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Stock Forward View

001215 Stock   45.61  0.36  0.78%   
Zhengzhou Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock prices and determine the direction of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.22
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.785
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.02
Wall Street Target Price
30.6667
Using Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food from the perspective of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food on the next trading day is expected to be 45.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.81.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 45.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu to cross-verify your projections.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zhengzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zhengzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zhengzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food on the next trading day is expected to be 45.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 2.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zhengzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu  Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.64 and 47.89, respectively. We have considered Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.61
45.26
Expected Value
47.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7125
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0614
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0265
SAESum of the absolute errors65.8088
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.0045.6148.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.8142.4250.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.1843.0349.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.200.20
Details

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's historical news coverage. Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.00 and 48.22, respectively. We have considered Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
45.61
45.61
After-hype Price
48.22
Upside
Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.62
  0.29 
  0.04 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.61
45.61
0.00 
178.23  
Notes

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Hype Timeline

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is presently traded for 45.61on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Zhengzhou is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 178.23%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is about 1425.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.65. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu was presently reported as 18.7. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu to cross-verify your projections.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's future price movements. Getting to know how Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002269Shanghai Metersbonwe FashionAccessories(0.06)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.50 (4.35) 14.06 
600536China National Software 1.24 2 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.33 (2.48) 9.53 
300955Jahen Household Products 0.14 6 per month 3.46 (0.0004) 7.97 (5.58) 17.63 
300146By health(0.07)10 per month 1.11 (0.02) 2.25 (1.70) 4.99 
002044Meinian Onehealth Healthcare(0.03)1 per month 2.90  0.13  9.99 (5.87) 20.05 
688590Shanghai Newtouch Software 0.00 0 per month 2.35 (0) 4.51 (3.78) 20.54 
002823Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision 0.28 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.65 (3.57) 8.93 
300894Marssenger Kitchenware Co(0.03)1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.74 (3.20) 10.02 

Other Forecasting Options for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu

For every potential investor in Zhengzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zhengzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zhengzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's price trends.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zhengzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu

The number of cover stories for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu depends on current market conditions and Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Short Properties

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments476.5 M

Other Information on Investing in Zhengzhou Stock

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhengzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhengzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu security.