Changchun High Stock Forward View
| 000661 Stock | 87.38 0.22 0.25% |
Changchun Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Changchun High stock prices and determine the direction of Changchun High New's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Changchun High's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Changchun High's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Changchun High hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Changchun High New from the perspective of Changchun High response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Changchun High New on the next trading day is expected to be 87.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.53. Changchun High after-hype prediction price | CNY 87.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Changchun |
Changchun High Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Changchun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Changchun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Changchun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Changchun High Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Changchun High New on the next trading day is expected to be 87.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Changchun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Changchun High's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Changchun High Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Changchun High | Changchun High Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Changchun High Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Changchun High's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Changchun High's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.96 and 89.27, respectively. We have considered Changchun High's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Changchun High stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Changchun High stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2742 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3693 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 83.5274 |
Predictive Modules for Changchun High
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Changchun High New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Changchun High After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Changchun High at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Changchun High or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Changchun High, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Changchun High Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Changchun High's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Changchun High's historical news coverage. Changchun High's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.72 and 89.04, respectively. We have considered Changchun High's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Changchun High is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Changchun High New is based on 3 months time horizon.
Changchun High Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Changchun High is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Changchun High backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Changchun High, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
87.38 | 87.38 | 0.00 |
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Changchun High Hype Timeline
Changchun High New is presently traded for 87.38on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Changchun is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Changchun High is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.38. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.74. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Changchun High New last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Changchun High to cross-verify your projections.Changchun High Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Changchun High's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Changchun High's future price movements. Getting to know how Changchun High's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Changchun High may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600399 | Fushun Special Steel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.06 | 5.83 | (3.89) | 14.99 | |
| 000761 | Bengang Steel Plates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.80 | (2.74) | 9.78 | |
| 002996 | Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.51 | (3.33) | 9.00 | |
| 600496 | Changjiang Jinggong Steel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | (0.04) | 3.10 | (2.47) | 11.61 | |
| 002054 | Dymatic Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.11 | 9.83 | (3.62) | 15.15 | |
| 603797 | Guangdong Liantai Environmental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | (0.03) | 2.48 | (2.35) | 9.65 | |
| 301355 | Fujian Nanwang Environment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.20 | 0.02 | 5.28 | (4.06) | 24.26 | |
| 600459 | Sino Platinum Metals Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.43 | 0.09 | 7.53 | (4.88) | 20.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Changchun High
For every potential investor in Changchun, whether a beginner or expert, Changchun High's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Changchun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Changchun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Changchun High's price trends.Changchun High Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Changchun High stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Changchun High could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Changchun High by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Changchun High Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Changchun High stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Changchun High shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Changchun High stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Changchun High New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Changchun High Risk Indicators
The analysis of Changchun High's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Changchun High's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting changchun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Changchun High
The number of cover stories for Changchun High depends on current market conditions and Changchun High's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Changchun High is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Changchun High's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Changchun High Short Properties
Changchun High's future price predictability will typically decrease when Changchun High's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Changchun High New often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Changchun High's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Changchun High's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 402.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in Changchun Stock
Changchun High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Changchun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Changchun with respect to the benefits of owning Changchun High security.