Mge Energy Stock Volatility

MGEE Stock  USD 104.86  0.84  0.79%   
MGE Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. MGE Energy has Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which conveys that the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for MGE Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise MGE Energy's risk adjusted performance of 0.1583, and Mean Deviation of 1.12 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to MGE Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
MGE Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of MGE daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use MGE's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of MGE Energy volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, MGE Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to MGE Energy's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as MGE Energy can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of MGE Energy at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of MGE Energy's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against MGE Stock

  0.74EBR Centrais ElectricasPairCorr
  0.67ES Eversource EnergyPairCorr
  0.49FE FirstEnergyPairCorr
  0.44AEP American Electric PowerPairCorr
  0.4ED Consolidated EdisonPairCorr
  0.4HE Hawaiian ElectricPairCorr
  0.31DTE DTE EnergyPairCorr

MGE Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

MGE Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of MGE stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents MGE stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, MGE Energy's beta of 1.26 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk MGE Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. MGE Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.59 and kurtosis of 4.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MGE Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MGE Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze MGE Energy Demand Trend
Check current 90 days MGE Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

MGE Beta

    
  1.26  
MGE standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.6  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by MGE Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of MGE Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mge stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in MGE Energy.

MGE Energy Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which MGE Energy stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with MGE Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of MGE Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of MGE Energy's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures MGE Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict MGE Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for MGE Energy's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on MGE Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. MGE Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

MGE Energy Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2647 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MGE Energy will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MGE Energy or Electric Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MGE Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MGE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
MGE Energy has an alpha of 0.1914, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
MGE Energy's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how mge stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a MGE Energy Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

MGE Energy Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of MGE Energy is 547.92. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.56 and standard deviation of 1.6. The mean deviation of MGE Energy is currently at 1.11. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.75
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

MGE Energy Stock Return Volatility

MGE Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of MGE Energy stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.5993% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7575% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About MGE Energy Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of MGE Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of MGE Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to MGE's beta indicator, it measures the risk of MGE Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of MGE Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap417.2 M239.8 M
MGE Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on MGE Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much MGE Energy's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize MGE Energy's volatility to invest better

Higher MGE Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of MGE Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. MGE Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of MGE Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in MGE Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of MGE Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

MGE Energy Investment Opportunity

MGE Energy has a volatility of 1.6 and is 2.11 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of MGE Energy is lower than 14 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use MGE Energy to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of MGE Energy to be traded at $102.76 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between MGE Energy and DJI is 0.6 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MGE Energy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

MGE Energy Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of MGE Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MGE Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of MGE Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

MGE Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against MGE Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. MGE Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, MGE Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to MGE Energy.

Complementary Tools for MGE Stock analysis

When running MGE Energy's price analysis, check to measure MGE Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGE Energy is operating at the current time. Most of MGE Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGE Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGE Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGE Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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