Challenger Energy Group Volatility
| BSHPFDelisted Stock | USD 0.15 0.00 0.00% |
Challenger Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0173, which signifies that the company had a -0.0173 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Challenger Energy Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Challenger Energy's mean deviation of 2.7, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0816 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0173
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Based on monthly moving average Challenger Energy is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Challenger Energy by adding Challenger Energy to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Challenger Energy's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Challenger Energy Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Challenger daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Challenger's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Challenger Energy volatility.
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Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Challenger Energy can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Challenger Energy at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Challenger Energy's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Challenger Energy's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta (0.69) | Alpha 0.51 | Risk 5.91 | Sharpe Ratio (0.02) | Expected Return (0.10) |
Moving against Challenger Pink Sheet
Challenger Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Challenger Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Challenger pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Challenger pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Challenger Energy's beta of -0.69 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Challenger Energy pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Challenger Energy Group is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Challenger Energy Group is a potential penny stock. Although Challenger Energy may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Challenger Energy Group. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Challenger instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Challenger Energy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Challenger Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Challenger Energy Volatility and Downside Risk
Challenger standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Challenger Energy Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Challenger Energy pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Challenger Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Challenger Energy's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Challenger Energy's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Challenger Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Challenger Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Challenger Energy's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Challenger Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Challenger Energy Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Challenger Energy Group has a beta of -0.6882 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Challenger Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Challenger Energy Group is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Challenger Energy or Challenger sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Challenger Energy's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Challenger pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
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What Drives a Challenger Energy Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Challenger Energy Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Challenger Energy is -5768.49. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 34.94 and standard deviation of 5.91. The mean deviation of Challenger Energy Group is currently at 3.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Challenger Energy Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Challenger Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Challenger Energy pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 5.9108% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7702% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
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Related Correlations Analysis
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Challenger Pink Sheet performing well and Challenger Energy Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Challenger Energy's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
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| ARSLF | 5.90 | (0.78) | 0.00 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 9.09 | 38.15 | |||
| CGXEF | 5.28 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 5.63 | 12.50 | 52.86 | |||
| BSNLF | 54.53 | 23.51 | 0.38 | (12.67) | 25.37 | 268.42 | 705.45 | |||
| PRTDF | 13.64 | 4.23 | 0.09 | (0.71) | 12.48 | 19.35 | 325.00 | |||
| SNEGF | 4.50 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.59 | |||
| PBEGF | 4.00 | (0.35) | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 11.11 | 35.58 | |||
| GXUSF | 1.35 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.33 | |||
| DMEHF | 5.65 | (0.26) | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.00 | 11.11 | 55.98 | |||
| ORXGF | 2.21 | 0.56 | 0.09 | (0.58) | 2.44 | 3.58 | 23.42 | |||
| ECAOF | 7.29 | 3.15 | 0.33 | (1.81) | 4.72 | 25.00 | 70.99 |
About Challenger Energy Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Challenger Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Challenger Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Challenger's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Challenger Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Challenger Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Challenger Energy Group PLC engages in the development, production, appraisal, and exploration of oil and gas properties. Challenger Energy Group PLC was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Douglas, the United Kingdom. Challenger Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Challenger Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Challenger Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Challenger Energy's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Challenger Energy's volatility to invest better
Higher Challenger Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Challenger Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Challenger Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Challenger Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Challenger Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Challenger Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Challenger Energy Investment Opportunity
Challenger Energy Group has a volatility of 5.91 and is 7.68 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Challenger Energy Group is higher than 53 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Challenger Energy Group to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Challenger Energy to be traded at $0.1485 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Challenger Energy Group and DJI is 0.41 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Challenger Energy Group and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Challenger Energy Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Challenger Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Challenger Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Challenger Energy pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0816 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.66) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 10.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1110.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Challenger Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Challenger Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Challenger Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Challenger Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Challenger Energy Group.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in Challenger Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Challenger Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Challenger Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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