Vanguard Commodity Valuation

VCMDX Fund  USD 28.24  0.06  0.21%   
At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Commodity has a current Real Value of $25.86 per share. The regular price of the fund is $28.24. We determine the value of Vanguard Commodity from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Overvalued
Today
28.24
Please note that Vanguard Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Commodity has a current Real Value of $25.86 per share. The regular price of the fund is $28.24. We determine the value of Vanguard Commodity from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  28.24 Real  25.86 Hype  28.24 Naive  28.68
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
25.86
Real Value
31.06
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Commodity Strategy helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1627.8328.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4728.2429.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.9128.6829.45
Details

About Vanguard Commodity Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vanguard Commodity. We calculate exposure to Vanguard Commodity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vanguard Commodity's related companies.
The funds advisor employs an active investment management approach to invest the funds assets in commodity-linked investments, which are backed by a portfolio of inflation-linked investments and other fixed income securities. It invests in instruments that create long and short exposure to commodities, including commodity-linked total return swaps, commodity futures contracts and options on commodity futures contracts, commodity-linked structured notes, exchange-traded commodity pools or funds, and other commodity-linked derivative instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Commodity security.
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