Virgin Galactic Valuation

SPCE Stock  USD 2.89  0.02  0.70%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Virgin Galactic Holdings has a current Real Value of $2.67 per share. The regular price of the company is $2.89. Our model measures the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.84, current valuation of 32.33 M, and Shares Owned By Insiders of 3.96 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued

Today

2.89
Please note that Virgin Galactic's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Virgin Galactic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Virgin stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Virgin Galactic Holdings. Since Virgin Galactic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Virgin Stock. However, Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.89 Real  2.67 Hype  2.89 Naive  3.46
The real value of Virgin Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Virgin Galactic Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Virgin Galactic's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Virgin Galactic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.67
Real Value
7.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Virgin Galactic Holdings helps investors to forecast how Virgin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Virgin Galactic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Virgin Galactic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.352.723.09
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.898.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.073.468.60
Details

Virgin Galactic Total Value Analysis

Virgin Galactic Holdings is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 32.33 M with market capitalization of 117.14 M, debt of 420.12 M, and cash on hands of 917.57 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Virgin Galactic fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
32.33 M
117.14 M
420.12 M
917.57 M

Virgin Galactic Investor Information

About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Virgin Galactic Holdings recorded a loss per share of 13.89. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 17th of June 2024. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Virgin Galactic's historical financial statements, Virgin Galactic Holdings is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in June.

Virgin Galactic Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Virgin Galactic has an asset utilization ratio of 0.73 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.00732 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Virgin Galactic Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Virgin Galactic Ownership Allocation

Virgin Galactic Holdings shows a total of 40.82 Million outstanding shares. Virgin Galactic Holdings has 3.96 % of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 28.88 % owned by institutional holders. On April 24, 2025, Representative George Whitesides of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Virgin Galactic Holdings's common stock.

Virgin Galactic Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (346.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (82.99 M).
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Virgin Galactic's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Virgin Galactic and how it compares across the competition.

About Virgin Galactic Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Virgin Galactic's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Virgin Galactic. We calculate exposure to Virgin Galactic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Virgin Galactic's related companies.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight and flying commercial research and development payloads into space. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Virgin Orbit Holdings, Inc. Virgin Galactic operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 804 people.

Virgin Galactic Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Virgin Galactic does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M

Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis

When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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