Mesa Air Valuation

MESA Stock  USD 1.13  0.04  3.67%   
Today, the firm appears to be undervalued. Mesa Air Group secures a last-minute Real Value of $1.32 per share. The latest price of the firm is $1.13. Our model forecasts the value of Mesa Air Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 393.48 M, return on equity of -0.52, and Profit Margin of (0.20) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Mesa Air's valuation include:
Price Book
0.3338
Enterprise Value
393.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(29.13)
Price Sales
0.0982
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.8275
Undervalued
Today
1.13
Please note that Mesa Air's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Mesa Air Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Mesa Air's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Mesa Air is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Mesa Stock. However, Mesa Air's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.13 Real  1.32 Target  2.0 Hype  1.14 Naive  1.16
The real value of Mesa Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Mesa Air Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Mesa Air's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Mesa Air's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
1.32
Real Value
5.82
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Mesa Air Group helps investors to forecast how Mesa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mesa Air more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mesa Air's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.145.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.021.165.66
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Mesa Air's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Mesa Air's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Mesa Air's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Mesa Air we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Mesa Air Cash

71.87 Million

Mesa Valuation Trend

Comparing Mesa Air's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Mesa Air Group uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Mesa Air Total Value Analysis

Mesa Air Group is now projected to have valuation of 393.48 M with market capitalization of 46.68 M, debt of 541.01 M, and cash on hands of 54.45 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Mesa Air fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
393.48 M
46.68 M
541.01 M
54.45 M

Mesa Air Investor Information

About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mesa Air Group recorded a loss per share of 2.3. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Mesa Air's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Mesa Air Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Mesa Air Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Mesa Air has an asset utilization ratio of 55.43 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.55 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Mesa Air Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Mesa Air Ownership Allocation

Mesa Air Group maintains a total of 41.31 Million outstanding shares. Mesa Air Group holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Mesa Air Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 498.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (120.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 115.04 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Mesa Air's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Mesa Air and how it compares across the competition.

About Mesa Air Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Mesa Air's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Mesa Air. We calculate exposure to Mesa Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Mesa Air's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit13.6 M12.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.30)(0.28)
Operating Profit Margin(0.17)(0.19)
Net Loss(0.28)(0.26)
Gross Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 

Mesa Air Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.136

Mesa Air Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Mesa Air Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Mesa we look at many different elements of the entity such as Mesa's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Mesa Air, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Mesa Air's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Mesa Air's worth.

Complementary Tools for Mesa Stock analysis

When running Mesa Air's price analysis, check to measure Mesa Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mesa Air is operating at the current time. Most of Mesa Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mesa Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mesa Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mesa Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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