Citi Trends Valuation

CTRN Stock  USD 17.86  0.07  0.39%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Citi Trends shows a prevailing Real Value of $14.51 per share. The current price of the firm is $17.86. Our model approximates the value of Citi Trends from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.03) %, return on equity of -0.15, and Current Valuation of 326.51 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Citi Trends' valuation include:
Price Book
1.1265
Enterprise Value
326.5 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
56.8141
Price Sales
0.2031
Forward PE
3.8066
Overvalued
Today
17.86
Please note that Citi Trends' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Citi Trends is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Citi Trends' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Citi Trends is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Citi Stock. However, Citi Trends' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.86 Real  14.51 Target  29.25 Hype  17.86 Naive  16.42
The intrinsic value of Citi Trends' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Citi Trends' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.51
Real Value
19.65
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Citi Trends helps investors to forecast how Citi stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Citi Trends more accurately as focusing exclusively on Citi Trends' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.93-0.79-0.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9017.8620.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.4616.4219.37
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.6229.2532.47
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Citi Trends' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Citi Trends' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Citi Trends' closest peers.

Citi Trends Cash

48.1 Million

Citi Valuation Trend

Knowing Citi Trends' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Citi Trends' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Citi Trends Total Value Analysis

Citi Trends is currently projected to have valuation of 326.51 M with market capitalization of 153.87 M, debt of 234.65 M, and cash on hands of 27.91 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Citi Trends fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
326.51 M
153.87 M
234.65 M
27.91 M

Citi Trends Investor Information

About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citi Trends has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.68. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2020. Based on the key indicators related to Citi Trends' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Citi Trends is performing exceptionally good at the moment. It has a great risk to report excellent financial results in December.

Citi Trends Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Citi Trends has an asset utilization ratio of 144.19 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.44 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Citi Trends is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Citi Trends Ownership Allocation

The majority of Citi Trends outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Citi Trends to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Citi Trends. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Citi Trends as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Citi Trends Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 747.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 310.99 M.

About Citi Trends Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citi Trends. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Citi Trends based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Citi Trends's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Citi Trends's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Citi Trends. We calculate exposure to Citi Trends's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Citi Trends's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit285.1 M227.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.02) 0.02 
Operating Profit Margin(0.03) 0.02 
Net Profit Margin(0.02) 0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.38 

Citi Trends Quarterly Retained Earnings

297.23 Million

Citi Trends Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.483
Forward Price Earnings3.8066

Citi Trends Current Valuation Indicators

Citi Trends' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Citi Trends' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Citi Trends, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Citi Trends' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Citi Trends' worth.
When determining whether Citi Trends offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Citi Trends' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Citi Trends Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Citi Trends Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Citi Trends. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. If investors know Citi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citi Trends listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(2.68)
Revenue Per Share
91.639
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Citi Trends is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citi Trends' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citi Trends' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citi Trends' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citi Trends' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citi Trends' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citi Trends is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citi Trends' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.