AvalonBay Communities Valuation

AVB Stock  USD 221.18  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. AvalonBay Communities shows a prevailing Real Value of $184.79 per share. The current price of the firm is $221.18. Our model approximates the value of AvalonBay Communities from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0881, and Profit Margin of 0.36 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AvalonBay Communities' valuation include:
Price Book
2.6471
Enterprise Value
39.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.7506
Price Sales
10.7518
Forward PE
40.8163
Overvalued
Today
221.18
Please note that AvalonBay Communities' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AvalonBay Communities is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AvalonBay Communities' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since AvalonBay Communities is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AvalonBay Stock. However, AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  221.18 Real  184.79 Target  197.05 Hype  221.22
The real value of AvalonBay Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of AvalonBay Communities Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on AvalonBay Communities' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
183.56
Downside
184.79
Real Value
243.30
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AvalonBay Communities helps investors to forecast how AvalonBay stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AvalonBay Communities more accurately as focusing exclusively on AvalonBay Communities' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.261.301.32
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
219.99221.22222.45
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
179.32197.05218.73
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AvalonBay Communities' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for AvalonBay Communities we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

AvalonBay Communities Cash

314.21 Million

AvalonBay Valuation Trend

Comparing AvalonBay Communities' enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of AvalonBay Communities uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

AvalonBay Revenue by Product

AvalonBay Communities Total Value Analysis

AvalonBay Communities is presently anticipated to have company total value of 39.46 B with market capitalization of 31.46 B, debt of 8.14 B, and cash on hands of 613.19 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the AvalonBay Communities fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
39.46 B
31.46 B
8.14 B
613.19 M

AvalonBay Communities Investor Information

About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AvalonBay Communities was presently reported as 83.67. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.32. AvalonBay Communities last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. The entity had 8:9 split on the 7th of January 2013. Based on the key indicators related to AvalonBay Communities' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, AvalonBay Communities is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.460.6172
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.6 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

AvalonBay Communities Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AvalonBay Communities has an asset utilization ratio of 13.45 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AvalonBay Communities is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

AvalonBay Communities Ownership Allocation

AvalonBay Communities holds a total of 142.24 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AvalonBay Communities outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AvalonBay Communities to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AvalonBay Communities. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AvalonBay Communities as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on September 6, 2024, Representative John James of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of AvalonBay Communities's common stock.

AvalonBay Communities Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.78 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 928.44 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.69 B.

AvalonBay Communities Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates AvalonBay Communities' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in AvalonBay Communities and how it compares across the competition.

About AvalonBay Communities Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines AvalonBay Communities' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AvalonBay Communities. We calculate exposure to AvalonBay Communities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AvalonBay Communities's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.8 B907.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.34  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.62  0.46 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin 0.64  0.72 
AvalonBay Communities' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AvalonBay Communities' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AvalonBay Communities can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AvalonBay Communities represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AvalonBay, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AvalonBay Communities Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about 968.8 M. The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.05. At present, AvalonBay Communities' Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 585.9 M, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 21.26.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid922.7 M968.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.99  1.12 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.39  1.46 
There are various types of dividends AvalonBay Communities can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AvalonBay shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AvalonBay Communities directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AvalonBay pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AvalonBay Communities by the value of the dividends paid out.

AvalonBay Communities Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.161
Forward Price Earnings40.8163

AvalonBay Communities Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of AvalonBay Communities and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value AvalonBay we look at many different elements of the entity such as AvalonBay's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AvalonBay Communities, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AvalonBay Communities' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AvalonBay Communities' worth.

Complementary Tools for AvalonBay Stock analysis

When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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