Alcoa Corp Valuation

AA Stock  USD 37.68  0.67  1.75%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alcoa Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $34.77 per share. The current price of the firm is $37.68. Our model approximates the value of Alcoa Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.0714, and Profit Margin of (0.03) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alcoa Corp's valuation include:
Price Book
1.8872
Enterprise Value
11.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
17.493
Price Sales
0.8847
Forward PE
11.9904
Overvalued
Today
37.68
Please note that Alcoa Corp's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alcoa Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alcoa Corp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Alcoa Corp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alcoa Stock. However, Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.68 Real  34.77 Target  35.27 Hype  37.68
The real value of Alcoa Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Alcoa Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Alcoa Corp's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
34.77
Real Value
41.45
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alcoa Corp helps investors to forecast how Alcoa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alcoa Corp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alcoa Corp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.120.800.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.0237.6840.34
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
32.1035.2739.15
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alcoa Corp's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alcoa Corp's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Alcoa Corp we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Alcoa Corp Cash

1.18 Billion

Alcoa Valuation Trend

Comparing Alcoa Corp's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Alcoa Corp uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Alcoa Revenue by Product

Alcoa Corp Total Value Analysis

Alcoa Corp is presently forecasted to have takeover value of 11.53 B with market capitalization of 9.73 B, debt of 1.92 B, and cash on hands of 1.36 B. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Alcoa Corp fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.53 B
9.73 B
1.92 B
1.36 B

Alcoa Corp Investor Information

About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alcoa Corp recorded a loss per share of 1.56. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2024. The firm had 1000:801 split on the 1st of November 2016. Based on the analysis of Alcoa Corp's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alcoa Corp is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of going through financial trouble in January.

Alcoa Corp Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alcoa Corp has an asset utilization ratio of 74.54 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.75 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alcoa Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Alcoa Corp Ownership Allocation

Alcoa Corp holds a total of 258.36 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alcoa Corp outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alcoa Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alcoa Corp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alcoa Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On July 22, 2024, Representative Michael McCaul of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of Alcoa Corp's common stock.

Alcoa Corp Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 10.55 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (773 M) with gross profit of 2.31 B.

Alcoa Corp Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Alcoa Corp's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Alcoa Corp and how it compares across the competition.

About Alcoa Corp Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alcoa Corp's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alcoa Corp. We calculate exposure to Alcoa Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alcoa Corp's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit86 M81.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.06)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Alcoa Corp's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Alcoa Corp's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Alcoa Corp can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Alcoa Corp represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Alcoa, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Alcoa Corp Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of December 28, 2024, Dividends Paid is expected to decline to about 61.6 M. In addition to that, Dividend Yield is expected to decline to 0.01. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about (1.2 B). The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about (487.4 M)
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid64.8 M61.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.11)(0.11)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.15  0.14 
There are various types of dividends Alcoa Corp can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Alcoa shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Alcoa Corp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Alcoa pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Alcoa Corp by the value of the dividends paid out.

Alcoa Corp Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.81
Forward Price Earnings11.9904

Alcoa Corp Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Alcoa Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Alcoa we look at many different elements of the entity such as Alcoa's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alcoa Corp, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alcoa Corp's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alcoa Corp's worth.

Complementary Tools for Alcoa Stock analysis

When running Alcoa Corp's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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