Natera Inc Stock Analysis
NTRA Stock | USD 119.95 0.55 0.46% |
Natera Inc is overvalued with Real Value of 94.44 and Target Price of 71.2. The main objective of Natera stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Natera Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Natera's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Natera stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Natera's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Natera |
Natera Stock Analysis Notes
About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.43. Natera Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Austin, Texas. Natera operates under Diagnostics Research classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2670 people. To find out more about Natera Inc contact Steven Chapman at 650 980 9190 or learn more at https://www.natera.com.Natera Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Natera Inc Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Natera's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Natera Inc or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (434.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.97 M. | |
Natera Inc currently holds about 638.65 M in cash with (246.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.59. | |
Natera Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from simplywall.st: When Will Natera, Inc. Breakeven |
Natera Inc Upcoming and Recent Events
Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Natera previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Natera Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natera's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019-05-09 | 2019-03-31 | -0.6 | -0.54 | 0.06 | 10 | ||
2015-11-12 | 2015-09-30 | -0.46 | -0.39 | 0.07 | 15 | ||
2024-02-28 | 2023-12-31 | -0.73 | -0.64 | 0.09 | 12 |
Natera Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Natera's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Natera's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Natera's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Natera's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Natera Stock Institutional Investors
Shares | Kynam Capital Management, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Duquesne Family Office Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | Sofinnova Ventures | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Samlyn Capital, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 11.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6.8 M |
Natera Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 14.9 B.Natera Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.21) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.11) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.11.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.39) | (0.41) | |
Return On Assets | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
Return On Equity | (0.57) | (0.54) |
Management Efficiency
Natera Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1418) % which means that it has lost $0.1418 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4078) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Natera's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Natera manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of October 22, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.31. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.41. At present, Natera's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 208.5 M, whereas Intangible Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.8 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 6.66 | 6.99 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 6.66 | 6.99 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (17.29) | (16.43) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 9.41 | 9.88 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (17.29) | (16.43) | |
Price Fair Value | 9.41 | 9.88 | |
Enterprise Value | 794.7 M | 607.9 M |
The analysis of Natera's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Natera's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Natera Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Operating Margin (0.11) | Profit Margin (0.21) | Beta 1.529 | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.41) |
Technical Drivers
As of the 22nd of October, Natera secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0746, mean deviation of 2.08, and Downside Deviation of 2.64. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natera Inc, as well as the relationship between them.Natera Inc Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was four with a total number of output elements of fifty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Natera middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Natera Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Natera Inc Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natera insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natera's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natera insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Natera Outstanding Bonds
Natera issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Natera Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Natera bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Natera Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View |
Natera Predictive Daily Indicators
Natera intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natera stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 15532.01 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.21) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 119.94 | |||
Day Typical Price | 119.94 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.55) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 51.7 |
Natera Corporate Filings
F4 | 17th of October 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 3rd of October 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 20th of September 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 18th of September 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 16th of September 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 16th of August 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 14th of August 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10Q | 9th of August 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
Natera Forecast Models
Natera's time-series forecasting models are one of many Natera's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natera's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Natera Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natera prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natera shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natera. By using and applying Natera Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natera entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | (0.40) | (0.42) | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0.41) | (0.43) | |
Net Loss | (0.40) | (0.42) | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.46 | 0.32 |
Current Natera Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Natera analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Natera analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
71.2 | Strong Buy | 19 | Odds |
Most Natera analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Natera stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Natera Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Natera conference calls.
Natera Stock Analysis Indicators
Natera Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Natera stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Natera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Natera stock analysis, traders can identify Natera position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 466.1 M | |
Long Term Debt | 282.9 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 765.3 M | |
Tax Provision | 271 K | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 167.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 879 M | |
Cash | 642.1 M | |
Accounts Payable | 15 M | |
Net Debt | -200.1 M | |
50 Day M A | 123.3478 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 307.3 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 1.5 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 198.6 M | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 15.4 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 191.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Natera Stock analysis
When running Natera's price analysis, check to measure Natera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natera is operating at the current time. Most of Natera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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