Modivcare Stock Analysis
| MODV Stock | USD 3.62 0.37 11.38% |
ModivCare is undervalued with Real Value of 4.52 and Target Price of 5.94. The main objective of ModivCare stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ModivCare is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ModivCare's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ModivCare stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ModivCare is usually not traded on Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day. ModivCare Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
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ModivCare Stock Analysis Notes
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. ModivCare recorded a loss per share of 17.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:3 split on the 1st of February 2021. ModivCare Inc., a technology-enabled healthcare services company, provides a suite of integrated supportive care solutions for public and private payors and patients. ModivCare Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Modivcare operates under Medical Care Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 20200 people. To find out more about ModivCare contact Heath CPA at 720 258 2130 or learn more at https://www.modivcare.com.ModivCare Quarterly Total Revenue |
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ModivCare Investment Alerts
| ModivCare is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ModivCare appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ModivCare currently holds 1.3 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.88, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. ModivCare has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ModivCare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (201.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 417.15 M. | |
| ModivCare currently holds about 72.7 M in cash with (6.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| ModivCare has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of ModivCare shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 334 shares by Langham Ronald Leroy Jr of Enhabit at 8.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
ModivCare Upcoming and Recent Events
| 22nd of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 22nd of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
ModivCare Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ModivCare's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004-11-08 | 2004-09-30 | 0.2 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 10 | ||
2014-03-12 | 2013-12-31 | 0.34 | 0.3 | -0.04 | 11 | ||
2012-03-14 | 2011-12-31 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.04 | 17 |
ModivCare Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
ModivCare's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ModivCare's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ModivCare's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ModivCare's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
ModivCare Thematic Classifications
In addition to having ModivCare stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
 | TransportationUSA Equities from Transportation industry as classified by Fama & French |
ModivCare Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-03-31 | 236.2 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2025-03-31 | 233 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2025-03-31 | 201.7 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 171.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-03-31 | 169.7 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2025-03-31 | 165.4 K | Wolverine Asset Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 110.2 K | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2025-03-31 | 108.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-03-31 | 103.1 K | Coliseum Capital Management Llc | 2025-03-31 | 4.5 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2025-03-31 | 2 M |
ModivCare Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 51.96 M.ModivCare Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.08) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.01) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.01.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.29) | (0.28) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.09) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.12) | (0.12) | |
| Return On Equity | 5.23 | 5.49 |
Management Efficiency
Return On Equity is likely to climb to 5.49 in 2025, despite the fact that Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.28). At this time, ModivCare's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Assets is likely to climb to about 51.9 M in 2025, whereas Total Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 250.2 M in 2025. ModivCare's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ModivCare manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (2.70) | (2.57) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (70.30) | (66.79) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 278.27 | 292.18 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (4.38) | (4.16) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 278.27 | 292.18 | |
| Price Fair Value | (4.38) | (4.16) | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.4 B | 1.4 B |
Management at ModivCare focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Technical Drivers
As of the 21st of June, ModivCare secures the Mean Deviation of 11.69, downside deviation of 9.12, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1834. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of ModivCare, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify ModivCare variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if ModivCare is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 3.62 per share. Given that ModivCare has jensen alpha of 2.02, we recommend you to check ModivCare's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.ModivCare Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average allows the user to define ModivCare range across which they want the smoothing.
ModivCare Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific ModivCare insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on ModivCare's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases ModivCare insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
ModivCare Outstanding Bonds
ModivCare issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ModivCare uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ModivCare bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ModivCare has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| BNP Paribas FRN Corp BondUSF1R15XK367 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View | |
| AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
ModivCare Predictive Daily Indicators
ModivCare intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ModivCare stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
ModivCare Corporate Filings
8K | 18th of June 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 28th of May 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 14th of May 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
10Q | 9th of May 2025 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
8K | 8th of May 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 5th of May 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 30th of April 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F3 | 28th of April 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
ModivCare Forecast Models
ModivCare's time-series forecasting models are one of many ModivCare's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ModivCare's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About ModivCare Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ModivCare prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ModivCare shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ModivCare. By using and applying ModivCare Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ModivCare entry and exit points for their positions.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Net Loss | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.15 | 0.17 |
Current ModivCare Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ModivCare analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ModivCare analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 5.94 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most ModivCare analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ModivCare stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ModivCare, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ModivCare conference calls.
ModivCare Stock Analysis Indicators
ModivCare stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ModivCare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ModivCare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ModivCare stock analysis, traders can identify ModivCare position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.8 M | |
| Long Term Debt | 986.4 M | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 M | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | -38.5 M | |
| Tax Provision | -5.5 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.753 | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 119 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.6 M | |
| Cash | 112.6 M | |
| Accounts Payable | 83.1 M | |
| Net Debt | 1.2 B | |
| 50 Day M A | 1.639 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 624.5 M | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 2.9 B | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 1.2 B | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 4.7916 | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 52.3 M | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 6.7 M |
Additional Tools for ModivCare Stock Analysis
When running ModivCare's price analysis, check to measure ModivCare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ModivCare is operating at the current time. Most of ModivCare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ModivCare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ModivCare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ModivCare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.