Amerisafe Stock Analysis

AMSF Stock  USD 48.85  0.85  1.77%   
AMERISAFE is undervalued with Real Value of 53.01 and Target Price of 56.33. The main objective of AMERISAFE stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what AMERISAFE is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of AMERISAFE's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The AMERISAFE stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and AMERISAFE's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AMERISAFE. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.

AMERISAFE Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AMERISAFE was presently reported as 13.52. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. AMERISAFE last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, underwrites workers compensation insurance in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in DeRidder, Louisiana. Amerisafe operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 371 people. For more info on AMERISAFE please contact Gerry Frost at 337 463 9052 or go to https://www.amerisafe.com.

AMERISAFE Quarterly Total Revenue

74.05 Million

AMERISAFE Investment Alerts

AMERISAFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 21st of March 2025 AMERISAFE paid $ 0.39 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Annaly Capital Management Outperforming Other Finance Stocks This Year

AMERISAFE Upcoming and Recent Events

21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

AMERISAFE Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact AMERISAFE's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.290.330.0413 
2006-05-09
2006-03-310.280.320.0414 
2013-07-31
2013-06-300.50.45-0.0510 
View All Earnings Estimates

AMERISAFE Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

AMERISAFE's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates AMERISAFE's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of AMERISAFE's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect AMERISAFE's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

AMERISAFE Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
M&g Plc2024-12-31
435.4 K
Auto-owners Insurance Co2024-12-31
426.9 K
Public Employees Retirt Assn Of Colorado2024-12-31
314.6 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-12-31
305.4 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
280 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
206.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
189.1 K
Newsouth Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
187.1 K
Eagle Asset Management, Inc.2024-09-30
186.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.5 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Note, although AMERISAFE's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AMERISAFE Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 914.41 M.

AMERISAFE Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.18 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.23 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.23.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets 0.05  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.23 

Management Efficiency

AMERISAFE has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0362 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0362 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2017 %, meaning that it created $0.2017 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. AMERISAFE's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AMERISAFE manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, AMERISAFE's Return On Tangible Assets are most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.23, while Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to increase to (0.03). At this time, AMERISAFE's Net Tangible Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The AMERISAFE's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.05, while Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease to (505.1 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.49  14.17 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.49  14.17 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.49  9.96 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.82  4.01 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.49  9.96 
Price Fair Value 3.82  4.01 
Enterprise Value845 M547 M
Leadership at AMERISAFE emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Dividend Yield
0.0311
Operating Margin
0.2265
Profit Margin
0.1793
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0311
Beta
0.336

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of April, AMERISAFE shows the Mean Deviation of 0.9591, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 1.37. AMERISAFE technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AMERISAFE market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if AMERISAFE is priced adequately, providing market reflects its regular price of 48.85 per share. Given that AMERISAFE has information ratio of 0.0571, we suggest you to validate AMERISAFE's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

AMERISAFE Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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AMERISAFE Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AMERISAFE insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AMERISAFE's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AMERISAFE insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

AMERISAFE Outstanding Bonds

AMERISAFE issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AMERISAFE uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AMERISAFE bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AMERISAFE has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

AMERISAFE Predictive Daily Indicators

AMERISAFE intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AMERISAFE stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

AMERISAFE Corporate Filings

F4
5th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
28th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
26th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
5th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
25th of October 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
30th of July 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

AMERISAFE Forecast Models

AMERISAFE's time-series forecasting models are one of many AMERISAFE's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AMERISAFE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About AMERISAFE Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how AMERISAFE prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as AMERISAFE. By using and applying AMERISAFE Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying AMERISAFE entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.22  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin(0.10)(0.10)
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.11 
Gross Profit Margin 1.03  0.95 

Current AMERISAFE Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AMERISAFE analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AMERISAFE analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
56.33Buy3Odds
AMERISAFE current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most AMERISAFE analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AMERISAFE stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AMERISAFE, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AMERISAFE conference calls.
AMERISAFE Analyst Advice Details

AMERISAFE Stock Analysis Indicators

AMERISAFE stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how AMERISAFE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying AMERISAFE stock analysis, traders can identify AMERISAFE position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow38.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity257.3 M
Tax Provision13.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.319
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments351.8 M
Cash44 M
Net Debt-44 M
50 Day M A50.867
Total Current Liabilities1.4 M
Other Operating Expenses309.1 M
Non Current Assets Total5.9 M
Forward Price Earnings22.3714
Non Currrent Assets Other-481 M
Stock Based Compensation2.9 M

Complementary Tools for AMERISAFE Stock analysis

When running AMERISAFE's price analysis, check to measure AMERISAFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMERISAFE is operating at the current time. Most of AMERISAFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMERISAFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMERISAFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMERISAFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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