SENECA FOODS (Germany) Price Prediction
| XSFA Stock | EUR 71.50 0.50 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SENECA FOODS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SENECA FOODS A from the perspective of SENECA FOODS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SENECA FOODS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SENECA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SENECA FOODS after-hype prediction price | EUR 71.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SENECA |
SENECA FOODS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SENECA FOODS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SENECA FOODS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SENECA FOODS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SENECA FOODS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SENECA FOODS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SENECA FOODS's historical news coverage. SENECA FOODS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.90 and 74.10, respectively. We have considered SENECA FOODS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SENECA FOODS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SENECA FOODS A is based on 3 months time horizon.
SENECA FOODS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SENECA FOODS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SENECA FOODS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SENECA FOODS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.50 | 71.50 | 0.00 |
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SENECA FOODS Hype Timeline
SENECA FOODS A is at this time traded for 71.50on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SENECA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on SENECA FOODS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.50. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. SENECA FOODS A had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out SENECA FOODS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SENECA FOODS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SENECA FOODS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SENECA FOODS's future price movements. Getting to know how SENECA FOODS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SENECA FOODS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFG | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.97 | (3.45) | 23.23 | |
| JAL | JAPAN AIRLINES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.01 | 1.97 | (1.94) | 6.63 | |
| 1P3N | Tower One Wireless | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 96W | MAVEN WIRELESS SWEDEN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.59 | (3.45) | 14.02 | |
| SIA1 | Singapore Airlines Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0) | 2.08 | (2.25) | 5.99 | |
| FCW3 | ALERION CLEANPOWER | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0.01 | 4.17 | (3.68) | 15.02 | |
| AOX | alstria office REIT AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 5.17 | (1.72) | 43.33 |
SENECA FOODS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SENECA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SENECA using various technical indicators. When you analyze SENECA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SENECA FOODS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SENECA FOODS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SENECA FOODS A, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SENECA FOODS based on analysis of SENECA FOODS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SENECA FOODS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SENECA FOODS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SENECA FOODS
The number of cover stories for SENECA FOODS depends on current market conditions and SENECA FOODS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SENECA FOODS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SENECA FOODS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SENECA FOODS Short Properties
SENECA FOODS's future price predictability will typically decrease when SENECA FOODS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SENECA FOODS A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SENECA FOODS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SENECA FOODS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 23 K | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 26 M |
Complementary Tools for SENECA Stock analysis
When running SENECA FOODS's price analysis, check to measure SENECA FOODS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SENECA FOODS is operating at the current time. Most of SENECA FOODS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SENECA FOODS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SENECA FOODS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SENECA FOODS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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