Xcel Brands Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.09 1.75 4.46 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 0.01 0.71 3.42 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 4.55 5.00 5.55 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.11 -0.11 -0.11 Details

Xcel Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Xcel Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Xcel Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.03	2.71	0.00	0.03	4 Events / Month	4 Events / Month	In about 4 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
0.69	0.69	0.00	13,550   Notes

Xcel Brands Hype Timeline

Xcel Brands is at this time traded for 0.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Xcel is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xcel Brands is about 263.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.72. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.35. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Xcel Brands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.27. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.89. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xcel Brands had 31:16137 split on the 29th of September 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Xcel Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Xcel Stock refer to our How to Trade Xcel Stock guide.

Xcel Brands Related Hype Analysis

Xcel Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xcel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xcel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Xcel Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xcel Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xcel Brands based on analysis of Xcel Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Xcel Brands depends on current market conditions and Xcel Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xcel Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xcel Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Xcel Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xcel Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xcel Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xcel Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xcel Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Xcel Brands' price analysis, check to measure Xcel Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xcel Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Xcel Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xcel Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xcel Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xcel Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.