Direxion Etf Price Prediction
| WFH Etf | USD 73.48 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Direxion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Direxion from the perspective of Direxion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Direxion using Direxion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Direxion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Direxion's stock price.
Direxion Implied Volatility | 0.13 |
Direxion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Direxion stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Direxion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Direxion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Direxion's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Direxion to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Direxion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Direxion after-hype prediction price | $ 73.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Direxion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Direxion will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.008125% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Direxion trading at $ 73.48, that is roughly $ 0.00597 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Direxion's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Direxion options at the current volatility level of 0.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Direxion After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Direxion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Direxion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Direxion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Direxion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Direxion's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Direxion's historical news coverage. Direxion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.48 and 73.48, respectively. We have considered Direxion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Direxion is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Direxion is based on 3 months time horizon.
Direxion Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Direxion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Direxion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Direxion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.48 | 73.48 | 0.00 |
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Direxion Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Direxion is traded for 73.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Direxion is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Direxion is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.48. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Direxion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Direxion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Direxion's future price movements. Getting to know how Direxion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Direxion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DECO | SPDR Galaxy Digital | (0.91) | 2 per month | 2.65 | 0.01 | 4.70 | (4.41) | 12.96 | |
| WTRE | WisdomTree New Economy | 0.1 | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.03) | 2.07 | (2.06) | 5.19 | |
| RJMG | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.15) | 3 per month | 0.84 | 0 | 1.53 | (1.63) | 4.16 | |
| XTOC | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.49 | (0.04) | 0.88 | (0.90) | 2.97 | |
| OCTZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | 0.23 | 1 per month | 0.60 | (0.04) | 0.92 | (1.06) | 2.98 | |
| LCDS | JPMorgan Fundamental Data | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.78 | (0) | 1.15 | (1.08) | 3.74 | |
| VNSE | Natixis ETF Trust | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.88 | (0.02) | 1.10 | (1.70) | 3.86 | |
| RAUS | RACWI ETF | 0.34 | 2 per month | 0.76 | (0.01) | 1.23 | (1.18) | 3.74 | |
| QLVE | FlexShares Emerging Markets | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.59 | 0.05 | 1.06 | (0.95) | 4.97 | |
| MAYZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.66 | (0.05) | 1.02 | (1.21) | 3.37 |
Direxion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Direxion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Direxion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Direxion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Direxion Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Direxion stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Direxion, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Direxion based on analysis of Direxion hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Direxion's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Direxion's related companies.
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When determining whether Direxion offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Direxion's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Direxion Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Direxion Etf:Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Investors evaluate Direxion using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Direxion's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Direxion's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Direxion's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.