Weibo Corp Stock Price Prediction
| WB Stock | USD 9.18 0.13 1.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.265 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.44 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7654 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8092 | Wall Street Target Price 10.382 |
Using Weibo Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Weibo Corp from the perspective of Weibo Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Weibo Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Weibo Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Weibo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Weibo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Weibo Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Weibo Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Weibo Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Weibo Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Weibo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Weibo Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 9.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Weibo |
Weibo Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Weibo Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Weibo Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Weibo Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Weibo Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Weibo Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Weibo Corp's historical news coverage. Weibo Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.12 and 13.08, respectively. We have considered Weibo Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Weibo Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Weibo Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Weibo Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Weibo Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Weibo Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Weibo Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.98 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.18 | 9.10 | 0.87 |
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Weibo Corp Hype Timeline
As of November 21, 2024 Weibo Corp is listed for 9.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Weibo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Weibo Corp is about 2985.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.13. About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Weibo Corp last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Weibo Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Weibo Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Weibo Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Weibo Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Weibo Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Weibo Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| Z | Zillow Group Class | (0.39) | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.14 | 4.77 | (2.96) | 25.67 | |
| OB | Outbrain | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.07 | (0.02) | 3.67 | (3.96) | 12.83 | |
| YY | YY Inc Class | (1.42) | 8 per month | 1.78 | (0) | 3.61 | (3.20) | 8.81 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | 0.39 | 5 per month | 3.09 | 0.06 | 6.49 | (5.09) | 23.67 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 0.60 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.28 | (6.42) | 53.61 | |
| FENG | Phoenix New Media | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.32 | (8.27) | 21.90 |
Weibo Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Weibo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Weibo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Weibo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Weibo Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Weibo Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Weibo Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Weibo Corp based on analysis of Weibo Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Weibo Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Weibo Corp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0726 | 0.0646 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.41 | 1.34 |
Story Coverage note for Weibo Corp
The number of cover stories for Weibo Corp depends on current market conditions and Weibo Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Weibo Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Weibo Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Weibo Corp Short Properties
Weibo Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Weibo Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Weibo Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Weibo Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weibo Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Weibo Stock analysis
When running Weibo Corp's price analysis, check to measure Weibo Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weibo Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Weibo Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weibo Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weibo Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weibo Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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