Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction
| WAFD Stock | USD 29.73 0.01 0.03% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.817 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7075 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.645 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0325 | Wall Street Target Price 29.5 |
Using Washington Federal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Washington Federal from the perspective of Washington Federal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Washington Federal using Washington Federal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Washington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Washington Federal's stock price.
Washington Federal Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Washington Federal's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Washington. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Washington Federal stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 31.0752 | Short Percent 0.0454 | Short Ratio 5.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 29.3212 |
Washington Federal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Washington Federal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Washington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Washington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Washington Federal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Washington Federal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Washington Federal.
Washington Federal Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Washington Federal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Washington Federal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Washington Federal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Washington Federal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Washington Federal's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Washington Federal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Washington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Washington Federal after-hype prediction price | USD 29.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Washington contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Washington Federal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Washington Federal trading at USD 29.73, that is roughly USD 0.0165 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Washington Federal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Washington Federal options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Washington | Build AI portfolio with Washington Stock |
Washington Federal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Washington Federal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Washington Federal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Washington Federal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Washington Federal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Washington Federal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Washington Federal's historical news coverage. Washington Federal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.27 and 31.25, respectively. We have considered Washington Federal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Washington Federal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Washington Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Washington Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Washington Federal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Washington Federal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.49 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.73 | 29.76 | 0.10 |
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Washington Federal Hype Timeline
Washington Federal is at this time traded for 29.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Washington is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Washington Federal is about 1426.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.72. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.43 B. Net Income was 200.04 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 729.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Washington Federal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Washington Federal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Washington Federal's future price movements. Getting to know how Washington Federal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Washington Federal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THFF | First Financial | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.97 | 0.16 | 3.97 | (1.97) | 9.63 | |
| WNEB | Western New England | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.12 | 3.60 | (2.33) | 11.13 | |
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp | 0.38 | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.08 | 2.77 | (2.65) | 10.10 | |
| WSBF | Waterstone Financial | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.04 | (1.68) | 5.89 | |
| COLB | Columbia Banking System | (0.01) | 11 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.30 | (2.96) | 11.50 | |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.19 | 3.01 | (1.76) | 8.59 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 2.84 | (2.47) | 7.82 | |
| WSBC | WesBanco | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.11 | 3.38 | (1.77) | 7.92 | |
| TRMK | Trustmark | (0.63) | 10 per month | 0.88 | 0.13 | 2.85 | (1.71) | 6.29 |
Washington Federal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Washington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Washington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Washington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Washington Federal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Washington Federal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Washington Federal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Washington Federal based on analysis of Washington Federal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Washington Federal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Washington Federal's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0469 | 0.0344 | 0.0395 | 0.0353 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.63 | 2.41 |
Story Coverage note for Washington Federal
The number of cover stories for Washington Federal depends on current market conditions and Washington Federal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Washington Federal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Washington Federal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Washington Federal Short Properties
Washington Federal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Washington Federal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Washington Federal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Washington Federal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Washington Federal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Complementary Tools for Washington Stock analysis
When running Washington Federal's price analysis, check to measure Washington Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Washington Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Washington Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Washington Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Washington Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Washington Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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