Troops Inc Stock Price Prediction

TROO Stock  USD 1.70  0.03  1.73%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of TROOPS's share price is approaching 31. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TROOPS, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

31

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TROOPS's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TROOPS Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TROOPS's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Using TROOPS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TROOPS Inc from the perspective of TROOPS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TROOPS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TROOPS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TROOPS after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.637.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.567.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.651.731.81
Details

TROOPS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TROOPS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TROOPS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TROOPS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TROOPS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TROOPS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TROOPS's historical news coverage. TROOPS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.40, respectively. We have considered TROOPS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.70
1.92
After-hype Price
7.40
Upside
TROOPS is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TROOPS Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

TROOPS Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TROOPS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TROOPS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TROOPS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.39 
5.48
  0.22 
  0.12 
2 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.70
1.92
12.94 
3,425  
Notes

TROOPS Hype Timeline

TROOPS Inc is at this time traded for 1.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. TROOPS is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 12.94%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.39%. The volatility of related hype on TROOPS is about 6284.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.82. TROOPS Inc currently holds 4 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. TROOPS Inc has a current ratio of 2.78, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about TROOPS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TROOPS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TROOPS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TROOPS's future price movements. Getting to know how TROOPS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TROOPS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WFCFWhere Food Comes 0.03 5 per month 1.44 (0.05) 3.34 (2.07) 8.33 
WALDWWaldencast Acquisition Corp 0.03 2 per month 10.05  0.06  27.27 (21.43) 136.36 
ATIXFAnalytixInsight 0.00 0 per month 15.81  0.10  41.18 (35.00) 493.00 
DAVEWDave Warrants 0.01 3 per month 9.23  0.15  27.68 (17.20) 219.63 
VSBGFVSBLTY Groupe Technologies 0.00 0 per month 8.93  0.05  21.44 (15.79) 67.08 
VQSViq Solutions(0.01)3 per month 6.31  0.03  14.29 (11.54) 51.43 
VTEXVTEX 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.00 (3.53) 11.44 
OTMOOtonomo Technologies 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.55 (6.25) 15.26 
LAWCS Disco LLC(0.11)10 per month 1.78  0.02  3.63 (3.18) 10.88 
WALDWaldencast Acquisition Corp 0.39 4 per month 3.85  0.02  7.52 (6.22) 23.26 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(0.26)10 per month 1.31  0.13  2.80 (2.76) 18.70 
BLNDBlend Labs 0.01 10 per month 2.97  0.13  8.11 (4.63) 22.50 
BRZEBraze Inc 1.26 12 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.00 (4.84) 22.59 
INSTInstructure Holdings 0.04 7 per month 0.00 (0.91) 0.26 (0.17) 0.60 
MODNModel N(0.04)8 per month 0.29  0.03  1.01 (0.50) 10.58 
JAMFJamf Holding 0.21 9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.40 (4.07) 11.26 
INTAIntapp Inc(0.24)11 per month 1.96  0.15  3.62 (2.55) 18.84 

TROOPS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TROOPS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TROOPS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TROOPS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TROOPS Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TROOPS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TROOPS Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TROOPS based on analysis of TROOPS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TROOPS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TROOPS's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding253.01796.97746.67784.0
PTB Ratio7.983.565.014.76

Story Coverage note for TROOPS

The number of cover stories for TROOPS depends on current market conditions and TROOPS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TROOPS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TROOPS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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TROOPS Short Properties

TROOPS's future price predictability will typically decrease when TROOPS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TROOPS Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TROOPS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TROOPS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 M
When determining whether TROOPS Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TROOPS's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Troops Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Troops Inc Stock:
Check out TROOPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TROOPS. If investors know TROOPS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TROOPS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
0.035
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.03)
The market value of TROOPS Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TROOPS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TROOPS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TROOPS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TROOPS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TROOPS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TROOPS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TROOPS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TROOPS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.