Trend Micro Stock Price Prediction
| TMICF Stock | USD 65.49 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 15
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Trend Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trend Micro from the perspective of Trend Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trend Micro to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trend because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trend Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 65.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trend |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trend Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trend Micro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trend Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trend Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Trend Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trend Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trend Micro's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trend Micro's historical news coverage. Trend Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.58 and 66.38, respectively. We have considered Trend Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trend Micro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trend Micro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trend Micro Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trend Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trend Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trend Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 23 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
65.49 | 65.48 | 0.02 |
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Trend Micro Hype Timeline
Trend Micro is at this time traded for 65.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Trend is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 65.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Trend Micro is about 1358.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.48. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Trend Micro was at this time reported as 1718.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2021. Trend Micro had 2:1 split on the 27th of March 2001. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Trend Micro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trend Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trend Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trend Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Trend Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trend Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APGE | Apogee Therapeutics, Common | 2.75 | 7 per month | 4.14 | 0.02 | 6.26 | (6.59) | 26.16 | |
| DH | Definitive Healthcare Corp | (0.08) | 10 per month | 2.28 | 0.13 | 5.06 | (4.85) | 37.54 | |
| XWEL | XWELL Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.01 | 0.10 | 6.59 | (6.00) | 26.22 | |
| PLAY | Dave Busters Entertainment | (0.04) | 8 per month | 2.53 | 0.15 | 9.38 | (5.24) | 24.27 | |
| GNFT | Genfit SA | (0.12) | 3 per month | 3.75 | 0.01 | 6.37 | (6.23) | 20.82 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (2.65) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.90 | (2.08) | 9.52 | |
| SBUX | Starbucks | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.02 | 3.59 | (2.31) | 9.73 | |
| ALVO | Alvotech | (0.12) | 11 per month | 2.31 | 0.02 | 5.53 | (4.32) | 23.64 |
Trend Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trend using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trend Micro Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trend Micro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trend Micro, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trend Micro based on analysis of Trend Micro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trend Micro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trend Micro's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Trend Micro
The number of cover stories for Trend Micro depends on current market conditions and Trend Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trend Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trend Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Trend Micro Short Properties
Trend Micro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trend Micro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trend Micro often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trend Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trend Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Trend Pink Sheet analysis
When running Trend Micro's price analysis, check to measure Trend Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trend Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Trend Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trend Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trend Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trend Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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