Triumph Gold Corp Stock Price Prediction
| TIGCF Stock | USD 0.19 0.02 11.76% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Triumph Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triumph Gold Corp from the perspective of Triumph Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triumph Gold to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triumph because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triumph Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 0.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Triumph |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Triumph Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Triumph Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triumph Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triumph Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Triumph Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triumph Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triumph Gold's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triumph Gold's historical news coverage. Triumph Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 7.83, respectively. We have considered Triumph Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triumph Gold is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triumph Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triumph Gold Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triumph Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triumph Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triumph Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 7.64 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.19 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
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Triumph Gold Hype Timeline
Triumph Gold Corp is at this time traded for 0.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.13. Triumph is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Triumph Gold is about 4520.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Triumph Gold was at this time reported as 0.11. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Triumph Gold Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 23rd of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Triumph Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triumph Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triumph Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triumph Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Triumph Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triumph Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLMEF | Calima Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CJAX | Barrister Energy LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.75 | |
| BRNGF | Buru Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.33 | |
| ATUUF | Altura Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.15 | 6.67 | (3.47) | 16.25 | |
| STOSF | Santos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.38 | 0.11 | 7.14 | (2.82) | 23.80 | |
| BRLL | Barrel Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.36 | 0.04 | 15.38 | (16.67) | 48.31 | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.41 | 0.02 | 4.31 | (4.00) | 15.59 | |
| HUSA | Houston American Energy | 0.48 | 7 per month | 10.23 | 0.11 | 25.27 | (15.43) | 151.46 | |
| BRN | Barnwell Industries | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.03 | (5.74) | 56.04 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | (1.63) | 9 per month | 3.75 | 0.05 | 6.98 | (7.74) | 54.80 |
Triumph Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triumph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triumph Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triumph Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triumph Gold Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triumph Gold based on analysis of Triumph Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triumph Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triumph Gold's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Triumph Gold
The number of cover stories for Triumph Gold depends on current market conditions and Triumph Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triumph Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triumph Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Triumph Gold Short Properties
Triumph Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triumph Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triumph Gold Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triumph Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triumph Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Triumph Pink Sheet analysis
When running Triumph Gold's price analysis, check to measure Triumph Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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