Salvatore Ferragamo Spa Stock Price Prediction

SFRGY Stock  USD 3.48  0.03  0.87%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Salvatore Ferragamo's share price is at 53. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Salvatore Ferragamo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Salvatore Ferragamo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Salvatore Ferragamo SpA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Salvatore Ferragamo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA from the perspective of Salvatore Ferragamo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Salvatore Ferragamo to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Salvatore because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Salvatore Ferragamo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Salvatore Ferragamo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.926.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.507.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.843.273.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Salvatore Ferragamo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Salvatore Ferragamo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Salvatore Ferragamo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Salvatore Ferragamo SpA.

Salvatore Ferragamo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Salvatore Ferragamo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Salvatore Ferragamo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Salvatore Ferragamo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Salvatore Ferragamo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Salvatore Ferragamo's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Salvatore Ferragamo's historical news coverage. Salvatore Ferragamo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered Salvatore Ferragamo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.48
3.48
After-hype Price
7.47
Upside
Salvatore Ferragamo is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Salvatore Ferragamo Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Salvatore Ferragamo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Salvatore Ferragamo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Salvatore Ferragamo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
3.94
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.48
3.48
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Salvatore Ferragamo Hype Timeline

Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is at this time traded for 3.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Salvatore is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Salvatore Ferragamo is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.48. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 2.18. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.98. Salvatore Ferragamo SpA last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Salvatore Ferragamo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Salvatore Ferragamo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Salvatore Ferragamo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Salvatore Ferragamo's future price movements. Getting to know how Salvatore Ferragamo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Salvatore Ferragamo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CFRUYCompagnie Financiere Richemont 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.06  3.15 (2.45) 15.62 
SWGAYSwatch Group AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.86 (3.57) 20.97 
CHDRYChristian Dior SE 0.00 0 per month 2.29 (0.01) 4.12 (3.85) 14.34 
PRDSYPrada Spa PK 0.00 0 per month 1.68  0.16  4.80 (3.42) 10.46 
BURBYBurberry Group Plc 0.00 0 per month 2.75  0.16  6.29 (5.13) 22.82 
PPRUYKering SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 5.34 (4.18) 19.03 
PRDSFPrada SpA 0.00 0 per month 2.04  0.07  8.49 (4.95) 24.37 
PPRUFKering SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 5.61 (5.27) 21.42 
CHDRFChristian Dior SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.36 (7.41) 26.84 

Salvatore Ferragamo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Salvatore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Salvatore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Salvatore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Salvatore Ferragamo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Salvatore Ferragamo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Salvatore Ferragamo SpA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Salvatore Ferragamo based on analysis of Salvatore Ferragamo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Salvatore Ferragamo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Salvatore Ferragamo's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Salvatore Ferragamo

The number of cover stories for Salvatore Ferragamo depends on current market conditions and Salvatore Ferragamo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Salvatore Ferragamo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Salvatore Ferragamo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Salvatore Ferragamo Short Properties

Salvatore Ferragamo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Salvatore Ferragamo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Salvatore Ferragamo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salvatore Ferragamo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding337.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments511.8 M

Additional Tools for Salvatore Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Salvatore Ferragamo's price analysis, check to measure Salvatore Ferragamo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Salvatore Ferragamo is operating at the current time. Most of Salvatore Ferragamo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Salvatore Ferragamo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Salvatore Ferragamo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Salvatore Ferragamo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.