Riskified Stock Price Prediction
| RSKD Stock | USD 5.41 0.02 0.37% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0199 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1729 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2967 | Wall Street Target Price 6.0313 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.006 |
Using Riskified hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Riskified from the perspective of Riskified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Riskified using Riskified's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Riskified using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Riskified's stock price.
Riskified Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Riskified's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Riskified. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Riskified stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.8511 | Short Percent 0.0143 | Short Ratio 2.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 5.0684 |
Riskified Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Riskified's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Riskified. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Riskified can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Riskified. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Riskified's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Riskified.
Riskified Implied Volatility | 1.04 |
Riskified's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Riskified stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Riskified's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Riskified stock will not fluctuate a lot when Riskified's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Riskified to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Riskified because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Riskified after-hype prediction price | USD 5.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Riskified | Build AI portfolio with Riskified Stock |
Riskified After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Riskified at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Riskified or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Riskified, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Riskified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Riskified's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Riskified's historical news coverage. Riskified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.20 and 7.68, respectively. We have considered Riskified's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Riskified is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Riskified is based on 3 months time horizon.
Riskified Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Riskified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Riskified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Riskified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.24 | 0.03 | 0.38 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.41 | 5.44 | 0.55 |
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Riskified Hype Timeline
Riskified is at this time traded for 5.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.38. Riskified is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Riskified is about 155.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.03. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 327.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 169.44 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Riskified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Riskified Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Riskified's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Riskified's future price movements. Getting to know how Riskified's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Riskified may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMWB | SimilarWeb | 0.14 | 7 per month | 2.43 | 0.09 | 5.56 | (4.61) | 13.28 | |
| SEMR | Semrush Holdings | 0.07 | 10 per month | 2.78 | (0.04) | 4.47 | (4.68) | 15.97 | |
| MNDY | MondayCom | (9.00) | 9 per month | 2.33 | 0.02 | 4.05 | (3.41) | 13.49 | |
| LTCH | Latch Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | 0.11 | 10 per month | 3.66 | (0.02) | 3.91 | (3.41) | 28.78 | |
| BLND | Blend Labs | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.48 | 0.01 | 3.94 | (4.26) | 14.97 |
Riskified Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Riskified price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riskified using various technical indicators. When you analyze Riskified charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Riskified Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Riskified stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Riskified, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riskified based on analysis of Riskified hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Riskified's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Riskified's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 1.39 | 5.71 | 7.99 | 8.61 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.008211 | 0.005815 | 0.006687 | 0.008573 |
Story Coverage note for Riskified
The number of cover stories for Riskified depends on current market conditions and Riskified's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Riskified is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Riskified's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Riskified Short Properties
Riskified's future price predictability will typically decrease when Riskified's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Riskified often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Riskified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Riskified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 170.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 376.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Riskified Stock analysis
When running Riskified's price analysis, check to measure Riskified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riskified is operating at the current time. Most of Riskified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riskified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riskified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riskified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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