Rogers Stock Price Prediction

ROG Stock  USD 104.69  1.16  1.10%   
As of 21st of October 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Rogers' share price is approaching 42 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rogers, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rogers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rogers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rogers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rogers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rogers' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.94
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.51
Wall Street Target Price
146
Using Rogers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rogers from the perspective of Rogers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Rogers Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Rogers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rogers. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rogers can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rogers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rogers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rogers.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rogers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rogers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rogers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rogers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Stock please use our How to Invest in Rogers guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rogers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.22124.47126.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.48101.43103.38
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
191.10210.00233.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.850.850.85
Details

Rogers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rogers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rogers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rogers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rogers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rogers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rogers' historical news coverage. Rogers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 103.40 and 107.30, respectively. We have considered Rogers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
104.69
103.40
Downside
105.35
After-hype Price
107.30
Upside
Rogers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rogers is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rogers Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rogers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rogers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rogers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.96
  0.66 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
104.69
105.35
0.63 
88.69  
Notes

Rogers Hype Timeline

On the 21st of October Rogers is traded for 104.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Rogers is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 105.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 88.69%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.63%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Rogers is about 1459.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.65. The company reported the last year's revenue of 908.4 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 56.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 321.01 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Rogers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Stock please use our How to Invest in Rogers guide.

Rogers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rogers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rogers' future price movements. Getting to know how Rogers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rogers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Rogers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rogers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rogers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rogers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rogers Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rogers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rogers, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rogers based on analysis of Rogers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rogers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rogers's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0026490.002516
Price To Sales Ratio2.71.36

Story Coverage note for Rogers

The number of cover stories for Rogers depends on current market conditions and Rogers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rogers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rogers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rogers Short Properties

Rogers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Rogers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rogers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rogers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rogers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.7 M

Complementary Tools for Rogers Stock analysis

When running Rogers' price analysis, check to measure Rogers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rogers is operating at the current time. Most of Rogers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rogers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rogers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rogers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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