Rev Group Stock Price Prediction

REVG Stock  USD 31.02  0.17  0.55%   
As of 2nd of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rev's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rev, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rev's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rev and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rev's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rev Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rev's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.398
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5825
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.105
Wall Street Target Price
29.875
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.42
Using Rev hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rev Group from the perspective of Rev response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rev to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rev because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rev after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rev's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8126.7534.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.2031.1534.09
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.390.400.41
Details

Rev After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rev at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rev or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rev, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rev Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rev's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rev's historical news coverage. Rev's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.08 and 33.96, respectively. We have considered Rev's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.02
31.02
After-hype Price
33.96
Upside
Rev is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rev Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rev Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rev is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rev backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rev, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.94
  0.06 
  0.06 
11 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.02
31.02
0.00 
420.00  
Notes

Rev Hype Timeline

Rev Group is at this time traded for 31.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Rev is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rev is about 480.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.96. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rev was at this time reported as 7.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. Rev Group last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Rev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rev Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rev's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rev's future price movements. Getting to know how Rev's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rev may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Rev Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rev price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rev using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rev charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rev Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rev stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rev Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rev based on analysis of Rev hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rev's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rev's related companies.
 2021 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01490.00936
Price To Sales Ratio0.360.67

Story Coverage note for Rev

The number of cover stories for Rev depends on current market conditions and Rev's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rev is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rev's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rev Short Properties

Rev's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rev's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rev Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rev's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rev's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.3 M

Complementary Tools for Rev Stock analysis

When running Rev's price analysis, check to measure Rev's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rev is operating at the current time. Most of Rev's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rev's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rev's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rev to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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