TFS FINANCIAL (Germany) Price Prediction

PWT Stock  EUR 12.50  0.20  1.57%   
At the present time, The value of RSI of TFS FINANCIAL's share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TFS FINANCIAL, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TFS FINANCIAL's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TFS FINANCIAL and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TFS FINANCIAL's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TFS FINANCIAL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TFS FINANCIAL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TFS FINANCIAL from the perspective of TFS FINANCIAL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TFS FINANCIAL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TFS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TFS FINANCIAL after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TFS FINANCIAL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade TFS Stock refer to our How to Trade TFS Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5612.4914.42
Details

TFS FINANCIAL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TFS FINANCIAL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TFS FINANCIAL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TFS FINANCIAL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TFS FINANCIAL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TFS FINANCIAL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TFS FINANCIAL's historical news coverage. TFS FINANCIAL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.77 and 14.63, respectively. We have considered TFS FINANCIAL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.50
12.70
After-hype Price
14.63
Upside
TFS FINANCIAL is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TFS FINANCIAL is based on 3 months time horizon.

TFS FINANCIAL Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TFS FINANCIAL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TFS FINANCIAL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TFS FINANCIAL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.93
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.50
12.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TFS FINANCIAL Hype Timeline

TFS FINANCIAL is at this time traded for 12.50on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TFS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on TFS FINANCIAL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.50. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of June 1970. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out TFS FINANCIAL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade TFS Stock refer to our How to Trade TFS Stock guide.

TFS FINANCIAL Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TFS FINANCIAL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TFS FINANCIAL's future price movements. Getting to know how TFS FINANCIAL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TFS FINANCIAL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

TFS FINANCIAL Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TFS FINANCIAL Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TFS FINANCIAL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TFS FINANCIAL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TFS FINANCIAL based on analysis of TFS FINANCIAL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TFS FINANCIAL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TFS FINANCIAL's related companies.

Story Coverage note for TFS FINANCIAL

The number of cover stories for TFS FINANCIAL depends on current market conditions and TFS FINANCIAL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TFS FINANCIAL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TFS FINANCIAL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

TFS FINANCIAL Short Properties

TFS FINANCIAL's future price predictability will typically decrease when TFS FINANCIAL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TFS FINANCIAL often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TFS FINANCIAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TFS FINANCIAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding280.6 M
Dividends Paid58.3 M

Complementary Tools for TFS Stock analysis

When running TFS FINANCIAL's price analysis, check to measure TFS FINANCIAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TFS FINANCIAL is operating at the current time. Most of TFS FINANCIAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TFS FINANCIAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TFS FINANCIAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TFS FINANCIAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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