Pennon Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| PEGRY Stock | USD 13.79 0.55 3.84% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pennon Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pennon Group PLC from the perspective of Pennon Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pennon Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pennon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pennon Group after-hype prediction price | USD 13.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pennon |
Pennon Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pennon Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pennon Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pennon Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pennon Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pennon Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pennon Group's historical news coverage. Pennon Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.77 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered Pennon Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pennon Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pennon Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pennon Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pennon Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pennon Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pennon Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.79 | 13.79 | 0.00 |
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Pennon Group Hype Timeline
Pennon Group PLC is at this time traded for 13.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Pennon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pennon Group is about 872.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.81. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 9.09. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2023. Pennon Group PLC had 2:3 split on the 23rd of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Pennon Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pennon Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pennon Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pennon Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Pennon Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pennon Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UUGRY | United Utilities Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | (0.11) | 2.20 | (2.42) | 6.54 | |
| AWK | American Water Works | 0.99 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.56 | (2.09) | 7.10 | |
| STRNY | Severn Trent PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | (0.08) | 2.78 | (3.57) | 11.36 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | 0.63 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.22 | (2.67) | 6.10 | |
| SVTRF | Severn Trent PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.48 | 0.00 | 19.79 | |
| VEOEF | Veolia Environnement SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.06) | 3.38 | (1.95) | 12.92 | |
| WPPGF | WPP plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.85 | (5.90) | 23.18 |
Pennon Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pennon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pennon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pennon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pennon Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pennon Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pennon Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pennon Group based on analysis of Pennon Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pennon Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pennon Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Pennon Group
The number of cover stories for Pennon Group depends on current market conditions and Pennon Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pennon Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pennon Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Pennon Group Short Properties
Pennon Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pennon Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pennon Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pennon Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pennon Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 519 M |
Additional Tools for Pennon Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Pennon Group's price analysis, check to measure Pennon Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pennon Group is operating at the current time. Most of Pennon Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pennon Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pennon Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pennon Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.