Affiliated Managers Group, Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 19.36 20.18 21.01 Details

Affiliated Managers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Affiliated Managers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Affiliated Managers Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.12	0.82	0.01	0.01	5 Events / Month	1 Events / Month	In about 5 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
20.72	20.73	0.05	1,367   Notes

Affiliated Managers Hype Timeline

Affiliated Managers is now traded for 20.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Affiliated is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Affiliated Managers is about 854.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.06 B. Net Income was 906.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Affiliated Managers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Affiliated Managers Related Hype Analysis

Affiliated Managers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Affiliated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Affiliated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Affiliated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Affiliated Managers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Affiliated Managers Group,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Affiliated Managers based on analysis of Affiliated Managers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Affiliated Managers depends on current market conditions and Affiliated Managers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Affiliated Managers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Affiliated Managers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Affiliated Managers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Affiliated Managers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Affiliated Managers Group, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Affiliated Managers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Affiliated Managers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Affiliated Managers' price analysis, check to measure Affiliated Managers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Affiliated Managers is operating at the current time. Most of Affiliated Managers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Affiliated Managers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Affiliated Managers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Affiliated Managers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.