ID Logistics (France) Price Patterns

IDL Stock  EUR 382.50  10.50  2.82%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of ID Logistics' share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ID Logistics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ID Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ID Logistics Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ID Logistics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.231
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.9324
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.3737
Wall Street Target Price
495.4286
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.16
Using ID Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ID Logistics Group from the perspective of ID Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ID Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IDL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ID Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 372.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ID Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
334.80388.20389.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
371.04372.60374.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.272.482.70
Details

ID Logistics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ID Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ID Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ID Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ID Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ID Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ID Logistics' historical news coverage. ID Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 370.74 and 373.86, respectively. We have considered ID Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
382.50
370.74
Downside
372.30
After-hype Price
373.86
Upside
ID Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ID Logistics Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

ID Logistics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ID Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ID Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ID Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.59
  0.04 
  0.01 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
382.50
372.30
0.08 
45.43  
Notes

ID Logistics Hype Timeline

ID Logistics Group is currently traded for 382.50on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. IDL is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 372.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 45.43%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on ID Logistics is about 295.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 382.51. The company reported the revenue of 3.27 B. Net Income was 53.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 561.12 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out ID Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ID Logistics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ID Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ID Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how ID Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ID Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PLXPLUXEE NV 0.16 4 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.38 (5.13) 13.73 
FIILisi SA 2.60 2 per month 2.78  0.02  3.15 (3.56) 17.62 
TEPTeleperformance SE(1.28)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.12 (5.38) 13.56 
AFAir France KLM SA(0.32)6 per month 3.42 (0.01) 5.63 (6.39) 21.13 
MLHKHK AG 2.60 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.80 (6.09) 43.65 
STFStef SA 0.60 2 per month 1.04 (0.02) 1.84 (1.74) 5.36 
GLOGL Events SA(0.05)2 per month 2.06  0.04  3.03 (3.07) 11.17 
IPSIpsos SA 0.44 3 per month 1.79  0.04  2.59 (2.38) 13.02 
ALCISCatering International Services 0.1 5 per month 1.26  0  2.53 (2.16) 7.67 

ID Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IDL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IDL using various technical indicators. When you analyze IDL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ID Logistics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ID Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ID Logistics Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ID Logistics based on analysis of ID Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ID Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ID Logistics's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
PTB Ratio3.463.67
Dividend Yield0.03870.0367

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Complementary Tools for IDL Stock analysis

When running ID Logistics' price analysis, check to measure ID Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ID Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of ID Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ID Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ID Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ID Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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