Galaxy Digital Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| GLXY Stock | 31.03 1.92 6.60% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 30.125 |
Using Galaxy Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galaxy Digital Holdings from the perspective of Galaxy Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Galaxy Digital using Galaxy Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Galaxy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Galaxy Digital's stock price.
Galaxy Digital Short Interest
An investor who is long Galaxy Digital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Galaxy Digital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Galaxy Digital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.1358 | Short Ratio 2.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.7 M | Shares Short 14 M | Beta 4.335 |
Galaxy Digital Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Galaxy Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Galaxy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Galaxy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Galaxy Digital Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Galaxy Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Galaxy Digital.
Galaxy Digital Implied Volatility | 1.2 |
Galaxy Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Galaxy Digital Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Galaxy Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Galaxy Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Galaxy Digital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Galaxy Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Galaxy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Galaxy Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 31.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Galaxy contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Galaxy Digital Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.075% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Galaxy Digital trading at USD 31.03, that is roughly USD 0.0233 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Galaxy Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Galaxy Digital Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Galaxy Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galaxy Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galaxy Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Galaxy Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galaxy Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Galaxy Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Galaxy Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Galaxy Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galaxy Digital's historical news coverage. Galaxy Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.32 and 36.90, respectively. We have considered Galaxy Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Galaxy Digital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galaxy Digital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Galaxy Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galaxy Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galaxy Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galaxy Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.81 | 5.29 | 0.58 | 0.07 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.03 | 31.61 | 1.87 |
|
Galaxy Digital Hype Timeline
Galaxy Digital Holdings is currently traded for 31.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Galaxy is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.87%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Galaxy Digital is about 5718.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.10. Net Income was 78.86 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Galaxy Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Galaxy Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Galaxy Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galaxy Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Galaxy Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galaxy Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWARF | Norwegian Air Shuttle | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0.13 | 13.07 | (5.26) | 26.96 | |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings PLC | 1.16 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.15 | 3.38 | (2.04) | 11.20 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | 2.58 | 7 per month | 3.23 | 0.04 | 6.78 | (6.95) | 17.95 | |
| CRSR | Corsair Gaming | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.17 | 8.75 | (3.60) | 14.46 | |
| CEBUY | Cebu Air ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | 0.16 | 7 per month | 2.30 | 0.11 | 7.16 | (4.01) | 17.65 | |
| ASR | Grupo Aeroportuario del | (3.27) | 7 per month | 1.06 | (0) | 2.96 | (1.89) | 8.98 | |
| NOKFF | Nok Airlines Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Galaxy Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Galaxy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galaxy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galaxy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Galaxy Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Galaxy Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Galaxy Digital Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Galaxy Digital based on analysis of Galaxy Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Galaxy Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Galaxy Digital's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Current Ratio | 1.39 | 1.56 | 2.68 | 2.81 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 4.05 | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.54 |
Story Coverage note for Galaxy Digital
The number of cover stories for Galaxy Digital depends on current market conditions and Galaxy Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galaxy Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galaxy Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Galaxy Digital Short Properties
Galaxy Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Galaxy Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Galaxy Digital Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Galaxy Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galaxy Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 124 M |
Additional Tools for Galaxy Stock Analysis
When running Galaxy Digital's price analysis, check to measure Galaxy Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galaxy Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Galaxy Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galaxy Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galaxy Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galaxy Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.