First Foundation Total Fund Price Prediction

FBBAX Fund  USD 28.46  0.08  0.28%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of First Foundation's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Foundation's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Foundation Total, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Foundation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Foundation Total from the perspective of First Foundation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Foundation to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Foundation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Foundation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy First Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in First Foundation guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.3725.9031.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.7328.2628.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7227.7628.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Foundation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Foundation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Foundation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Foundation Total.

First Foundation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Foundation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Foundation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of First Foundation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Foundation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Foundation's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Foundation's historical news coverage. First Foundation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.95 and 29.01, respectively. We have considered First Foundation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.46
28.48
After-hype Price
29.01
Upside
First Foundation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Foundation Total is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Foundation Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as First Foundation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Foundation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Foundation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
0.53
  0.02 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.46
28.48
0.07 
407.69  
Notes

First Foundation Hype Timeline

First Foundation Total is currently traded for 28.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on First Foundation is about 3180.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.46. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out First Foundation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy First Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in First Foundation guide.

First Foundation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Foundation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Foundation's future price movements. Getting to know how First Foundation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Foundation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FBBAXFirst Foundation Total 0.13 1 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.19 (0.67) 2.52 
FBBYXFirst Foundation Total 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 1.16 (0.62) 2.49 
FFBAXFirst Foundation Fixed 0.00 0 per month 0.05 (0.64) 0.45 (0.36) 1.08 
FFBYXFirst Foundation Fixed 0.00 0 per month 0.07 (0.61) 0.45 (0.36) 1.08 
MNDVUXMndvux 0.00 0 per month 0.47 (0.04) 1.50 (0.87) 4.98 
NWWAXNationwide Bailard Emerging 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SMGASXAdt 2047 Bahl 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PWJQXPrudential Jennison International 0.00 0 per month 0.33  0.05  1.86 (1.19) 4.45 
FGWMXFidelity New Markets 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.47) 0.48 (0.31) 1.21 

First Foundation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Foundation Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Foundation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Foundation Total, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Foundation based on analysis of First Foundation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Foundation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Foundation's related companies.

Story Coverage note for First Foundation

The number of cover stories for First Foundation depends on current market conditions and First Foundation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Foundation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Foundation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Foundation financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Foundation security.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
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