Exide Industries (India) Price Prediction
| EXIDEIND | 445.05 19.25 4.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Wall Street Target Price 463.8947 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
Using Exide Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exide Industries Limited from the perspective of Exide Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exide Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exide because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exide Industries after-hype prediction price | INR 446.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exide |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exide Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exide Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exide Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exide Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exide Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exide Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exide Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exide Industries' historical news coverage. Exide Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 444.69 and 449.13, respectively. We have considered Exide Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exide Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exide Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exide Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exide Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exide Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exide Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.20 | 1.86 | 0.82 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
445.05 | 446.91 | 0.42 |
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Exide Industries Hype Timeline
Exide Industries is currently traded for 445.05on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.82. Exide is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 446.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 16.54%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Exide Industries is about 37.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 445.87. The company reported the revenue of 167.7 B. Net Income was 8.77 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.67 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Exide Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exide Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exide Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exide Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Exide Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exide Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADFFOODS | ADF Foods Limited | 38.77 | 1 per month | 2.53 | 0.09 | 6.13 | (4.09) | 19.18 | |
| KAMATHOTEL | Kamat Hotels Limited | 6.90 | 1 per month | 1.92 | (0.02) | 4.01 | (3.55) | 24.47 | |
| ADVANIHOTR | Advani Hotels Resorts | (0.85) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.90 | (3.12) | 11.97 | |
| JUNIPER | Juniper Hotels | (9.70) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.88 | (3.58) | 9.07 | |
| SINCLAIR | SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.49 | (2.36) | 8.66 | |
| KOHINOOR | Kohinoor Foods Limited | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.71 | (0.02) | 3.83 | (6.17) | 27.84 |
Exide Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exide price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exide using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exide charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exide Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exide Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exide Industries Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exide Industries based on analysis of Exide Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exide Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exide Industries's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Exide Industries
The number of cover stories for Exide Industries depends on current market conditions and Exide Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exide Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exide Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Exide Industries Short Properties
Exide Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Exide Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exide Industries Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exide Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exide Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 850 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 B |
Other Information on Investing in Exide Stock
Exide Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exide Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exide with respect to the benefits of owning Exide Industries security.