Cnx Resources Corp Stock Price Prediction

CNX Stock  USD 33.94  0.09  0.26%   
The value of relative strength index of CNX Resources' the stock price is slightly above 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNX, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CNX Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNX Resources Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CNX Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.125
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.54
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.87
Wall Street Target Price
29.73
Using CNX Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNX Resources Corp from the perspective of CNX Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNX Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CNX Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CNX Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNX Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.1630.2037.43
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.1822.1824.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.370.49
Details

CNX Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CNX Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNX Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNX Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CNX Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CNX Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNX Resources' historical news coverage. CNX Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.68 and 35.76, respectively. We have considered CNX Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.94
33.72
After-hype Price
35.76
Upside
CNX Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNX Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

CNX Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNX Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNX Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNX Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.57 
2.04
  0.31 
  0.19 
9 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.94
33.72
0.91 
377.78  
Notes

CNX Resources Hype Timeline

On the 1st of November CNX Resources Corp is traded for 33.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. CNX is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on CNX Resources is about 622.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.13. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CNX Resources Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2017. The firm had 6:5 split on the 29th of November 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out CNX Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CNX Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CNX Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNX Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how CNX Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNX Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EPSNEpsilon Energy(0.14)8 per month 1.97  0.06  4.25 (3.01) 11.32 
GPORGulfport Energy Operating 5.32 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.78 (2.68) 6.90 
DENDenbury Resources 0.29 1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.47 (3.21) 9.48 
GPRKGeoPark 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.35 (4.27) 11.29 
MVOMV Oil Trust(0.11)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.15 (2.41) 7.24 
SJTSan Juan Basin(0.02)3 per month 2.35 (0.01) 4.74 (4.19) 12.51 
VOCVOC Energy Trust 0.11 3 per month 2.15  0.05  2.78 (3.49) 11.00 
CRKComstock Resources(0.09)11 per month 2.91  0.1  5.47 (5.86) 17.45 
MTDRMatador Resources 0.68 10 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.40 (5.61) 10.09 
MURMurphy Oil 0.02 11 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.46 (4.32) 9.23 
CIVICivitas Resources 0.62 11 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.92 (4.12) 9.88 
ESTEEarthstone Energy 0.00 0 per month 2.66  0.04  4.37 (4.80) 10.76 
SBOWSilverBow Resources 0.43 9 per month 1.86  0.08  3.59 (2.41) 15.61 
ARAntero Resources Corp(0.39)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.61 (4.91) 9.94 
RRCRange Resources Corp(0.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.25 (2.67) 6.98 
SMSM Energy Co(0.07)11 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.91 (5.21) 18.22 
SWNSouthwestern Energy 0.15 9 per month 1.50  0.04  2.82 (2.32) 6.63 
CRCCalifornia Resources Corp(0.17)12 per month 2.60  0.01  4.09 (4.90) 11.07 
MGYMagnolia Oil Gas(0.33)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.56 (4.41) 8.58 

CNX Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNX using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CNX Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CNX Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNX Resources Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNX Resources based on analysis of CNX Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNX Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNX Resources's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield6.31E-45.99E-4
Price To Sales Ratio2.161.18

Story Coverage note for CNX Resources

The number of cover stories for CNX Resources depends on current market conditions and CNX Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNX Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNX Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CNX Resources Short Properties

CNX Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when CNX Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNX Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNX Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNX Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192 M
Cash And Short Term Investments443 K

Additional Tools for CNX Stock Analysis

When running CNX Resources' price analysis, check to measure CNX Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNX Resources is operating at the current time. Most of CNX Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNX Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNX Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNX Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.