Chegg Inc Stock Price Prediction
CHGG Stock | USD 1.42 0.08 5.97% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.996 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.028 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1253 | Wall Street Target Price 2.7917 |
Using Chegg hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chegg Inc from the perspective of Chegg response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chegg using Chegg's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chegg using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chegg's stock price.
Chegg Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Chegg's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Chegg. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Chegg stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.3485 | Short Percent 0.0751 | Short Ratio 1.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.8 M | 50 Day MA 1.1794 |
Chegg Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chegg's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chegg. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chegg can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chegg Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chegg's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chegg.
Chegg Implied Volatility | 1.43 |
Chegg's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chegg Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chegg's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chegg stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chegg's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chegg to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chegg because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chegg after-hype prediction price | USD 1.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Chegg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Chegg After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chegg at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chegg or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chegg, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Chegg Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chegg's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chegg's historical news coverage. Chegg's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.67, respectively. We have considered Chegg's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chegg is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chegg Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chegg Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chegg is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chegg backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chegg, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.86 | 7.17 | 0.41 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.42 | 1.54 | 8.45 |
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Chegg Hype Timeline
Chegg Inc is currently traded for 1.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Chegg is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 8.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.86%. The volatility of related hype on Chegg is about 17381.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.34. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0138) % which means that it has lost $0.0138 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.4848) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Chegg's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Chegg manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Chegg's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to -0.93. The Chegg's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to -2.06. At this time, Chegg's Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chegg's current Total Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 541.2 M, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to 1.09. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Chegg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chegg Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chegg's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chegg's future price movements. Getting to know how Chegg's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chegg may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
IH | Ihuman Inc | (0.03) | 10 per month | 2.69 | 0.08 | 5.68 | (5.07) | 14.17 | |
YQ | 17 Education Technology | (0.17) | 7 per month | 4.70 | 0.06 | 9.52 | (6.51) | 18.17 | |
VSTA | Vasta Platform | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.20 | (4.36) | 11.83 | |
EDTK | Skillful Craftsman Education | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.56 | (6.32) | 19.32 | |
EEIQ | Elite Education Group | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.00 | (9.09) | 55.00 | |
WAFU | Wah Fu Education | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.49 | (0.04) | 4.96 | (4.14) | 15.73 | |
FEDU | Four Seasons Education | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.43 | 0.28 | 6.76 | (3.27) | 32.47 | |
DAO | Youdao Inc | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.66 | 0.11 | 5.55 | (3.35) | 13.25 |
Chegg Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chegg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chegg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chegg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Chegg Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chegg stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chegg Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chegg based on analysis of Chegg hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chegg's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chegg's related companies. 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.52 | 0.46 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.26 |
Story Coverage note for Chegg
The number of cover stories for Chegg depends on current market conditions and Chegg's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chegg is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chegg's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chegg Short Properties
Chegg's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chegg's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chegg Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chegg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chegg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 315.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Chegg Stock analysis
When running Chegg's price analysis, check to measure Chegg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chegg is operating at the current time. Most of Chegg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chegg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chegg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chegg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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