Blade Air Mobility Stock Price Prediction
| BLDE Stock | USD 4.43 0.16 3.49% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.1) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 7.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.10) |
Using Blade Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blade Air Mobility from the perspective of Blade Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blade Air using Blade Air's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blade using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blade Air's stock price.
Blade Air Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Blade Air's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Blade. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Blade Air stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.6073 | Short Percent 0.0512 | Short Ratio 3.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 3.8541 |
Blade Air Mobility Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blade Air's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blade. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blade can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blade Air Mobility. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blade Air's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blade Air.
Blade Air Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Blade Air's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blade Air Mobility stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blade Air's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blade Air stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blade Air's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blade Air to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blade because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Blade Air after-hype prediction price | USD 4.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Blade Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blade Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blade Air After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blade Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blade Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blade Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blade Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blade Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blade Air's historical news coverage. Blade Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 8.69, respectively. We have considered Blade Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blade Air is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blade Air Mobility is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blade Air Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blade Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blade Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blade Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 4.28 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.43 | 4.41 | 0.45 |
|
Blade Air Hype Timeline
Blade Air Mobility is currently traded for 4.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Blade is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Blade Air is about 19973.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.41. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blade Air Mobility has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.17. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.33. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Blade Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Blade Air Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blade Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blade Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Blade Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blade Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACHR | Archer Aviation | 0.09 | 11 per month | 5.22 | 0.11 | 9.67 | (8.94) | 37.74 | |
| ASLE | AerSale Corp | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.90 | (2.99) | 15.55 | |
| ASR | Grupo Aeroportuario del | (0.86) | 10 per month | 1.06 | 0.02 | 2.96 | (1.89) | 8.98 | |
| JOBY | Joby Aviation | 0.66 | 8 per month | 3.03 | 0.26 | 11.76 | (5.29) | 37.00 | |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.18 | 3.30 | (1.46) | 8.35 | |
| QSI | QuantumSi | (0.06) | 8 per month | 4.50 | 0.11 | 13.94 | (7.29) | 34.33 | |
| UP | Wheels Up Experience | (0.03) | 12 per month | 6.12 | 0.13 | 16.16 | (12.14) | 41.91 |
Blade Air Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Blade Air Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Blade Air stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blade Air Mobility, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blade Air based on analysis of Blade Air hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blade Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blade Air's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 27.17 | 34.05 | 31.69 | 24.0 | PTB Ratio | 0.93 | 1.11 | 1.48 | 1.41 |
Story Coverage note for Blade Air
The number of cover stories for Blade Air depends on current market conditions and Blade Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blade Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blade Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Blade Air Short Properties
Blade Air's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blade Air's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blade Air Mobility often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blade Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blade Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Blade Stock analysis
When running Blade Air's price analysis, check to measure Blade Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blade Air is operating at the current time. Most of Blade Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blade Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blade Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blade Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |