Brighthouse Financial Stock Price Prediction

BHF Stock  USD 51.34  1.14  2.17%   
The relative strength indicator of Brighthouse Financial's the stock price is roughly 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 14th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brighthouse, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brighthouse Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brighthouse Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brighthouse Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brighthouse Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brighthouse Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.55
EPS Estimate Current Year
19.67
EPS Estimate Next Year
19.93
Wall Street Target Price
49.43
Using Brighthouse Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brighthouse Financial from the perspective of Brighthouse Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Brighthouse Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brighthouse Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brighthouse. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brighthouse can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brighthouse Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brighthouse Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brighthouse Financial.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brighthouse Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brighthouse because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Brighthouse Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Brighthouse Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Brighthouse Stock please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.3345.5556.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.8254.0456.26
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.9251.5657.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.304.925.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brighthouse Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brighthouse Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brighthouse Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brighthouse Financial.

Brighthouse Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brighthouse Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brighthouse Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brighthouse Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brighthouse Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brighthouse Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brighthouse Financial's historical news coverage. Brighthouse Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.33 and 53.77, respectively. We have considered Brighthouse Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51.34
51.55
After-hype Price
53.77
Upside
Brighthouse Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brighthouse Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brighthouse Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brighthouse Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brighthouse Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brighthouse Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.22
  0.21 
  0.05 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.34
51.55
0.41 
304.11  
Notes

Brighthouse Financial Hype Timeline

On the 14th of November 2024 Brighthouse Financial is traded for 51.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Brighthouse is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Brighthouse Financial is about 1292.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.11 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.9 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Brighthouse Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Brighthouse Stock please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.

Brighthouse Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brighthouse Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Brighthouse Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brighthouse Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PRUPrudential Financial(1.95)11 per month 1.22  0.05  1.98 (2.06) 9.30 
LNCLincoln National 1.63 8 per month 1.66  0.06  3.77 (3.07) 16.67 
AFLAflac Incorporated(2.40)10 per month 1.26 (0.01) 1.95 (1.53) 6.98 
UNMUnum Group 0.02 11 per month 0.29  0.19  2.23 (1.42) 9.41 
AELAmerican Equity Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.14  2.87 (2.11) 17.90 
MET-PAMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.48 (0.18) 0.95 (0.81) 2.81 
NWLINational Western Life(0.70)8 per month 0.10 (0.67) 0.39 (0.26) 1.17 
MDWTMidwest Holding 0.01 2 per month 0.00  0.11  1.26 (0.98) 87.92 
PUKPrudential Public Limited(0.13)11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.80 (3.79) 13.38 
BHFAOBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.84 (0.20) 1.04 (1.40) 2.81 
BHFAMBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.05 (0.06) 1.88 (1.76) 6.05 
BHFANBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 1.02 (0.11) 1.62 (1.88) 4.75 
MET-PFMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.77 (0.13) 1.12 (1.31) 4.96 
FGFG Annuities Life 0.60 8 per month 2.28  0.04  3.85 (3.81) 21.12 
BHFAPBrighthouse Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.60 (0.07) 1.45 (1.07) 3.54 
MET-PEMetLife Preferred Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.48 (0.28) 0.81 (0.88) 2.31 
JXN-PAJackson Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.32 (0.14) 1.00 (0.66) 2.56 

Brighthouse Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brighthouse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brighthouse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brighthouse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Brighthouse Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Brighthouse Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brighthouse Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brighthouse Financial based on analysis of Brighthouse Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brighthouse Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brighthouse Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02050.02780.03040.0288
Price To Sales Ratio0.610.440.820.99

Story Coverage note for Brighthouse Financial

The number of cover stories for Brighthouse Financial depends on current market conditions and Brighthouse Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brighthouse Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brighthouse Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Brighthouse Financial Short Properties

Brighthouse Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brighthouse Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brighthouse Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brighthouse Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brighthouse Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86 B

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