Ardmore Shpng Stock Price Prediction
| ASC Stock | USD 17.49 0.47 2.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.579 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.74 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.97 | Wall Street Target Price 24.8 |
Using Ardmore Shpng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ardmore Shpng from the perspective of Ardmore Shpng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ardmore Shpng using Ardmore Shpng's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ardmore using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ardmore Shpng's stock price.
Ardmore Shpng Implied Volatility | 42.71 |
Ardmore Shpng's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ardmore Shpng stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ardmore Shpng's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ardmore Shpng stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ardmore Shpng's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ardmore Shpng to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ardmore because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ardmore Shpng after-hype prediction price | USD 17.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ardmore contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ardmore Shpng will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.67% per day over the life of the 2024-10-18 option contract. With Ardmore Shpng trading at USD 17.49, that is roughly USD 0.47 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ardmore Shpng's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ardmore Shpng options at the current volatility level of 42.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ardmore |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ardmore Shpng's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ardmore Shpng After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ardmore Shpng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ardmore Shpng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ardmore Shpng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ardmore Shpng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ardmore Shpng's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ardmore Shpng's historical news coverage. Ardmore Shpng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.43 and 19.59, respectively. We have considered Ardmore Shpng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ardmore Shpng is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ardmore Shpng is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ardmore Shpng Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ardmore Shpng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ardmore Shpng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ardmore Shpng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.08 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.49 | 17.51 | 0.11 |
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Ardmore Shpng Hype Timeline
On the 21st of September Ardmore Shpng is traded for 17.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Ardmore is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Ardmore Shpng is about 904.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.41. The company reported the last year's revenue of 395.98 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 116.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 212.84 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Ardmore Shpng Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ardmore Shpng Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ardmore Shpng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ardmore Shpng's future price movements. Getting to know how Ardmore Shpng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ardmore Shpng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.55 | (3.09) | 9.22 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (1.34) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.46 | (3.09) | 8.28 | |
| LPG | Dorian LPG | 0.92 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.61 | (3.92) | 9.47 | |
| EURN | Euronav NV | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.20 | 3.66 | (3.10) | 10.85 | |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | (0.32) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.60 | (4.54) | 10.32 |
Ardmore Shpng Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ardmore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ardmore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ardmore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ardmore Shpng Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ardmore Shpng stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ardmore Shpng, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ardmore Shpng based on analysis of Ardmore Shpng hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ardmore Shpng's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ardmore Shpng's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006914 | 0.006122 | 0.0872 | 0.0916 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.59 | 1.2 | 1.46 | 2.5 |
Story Coverage note for Ardmore Shpng
The number of cover stories for Ardmore Shpng depends on current market conditions and Ardmore Shpng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ardmore Shpng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ardmore Shpng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ardmore Shpng Short Properties
Ardmore Shpng's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ardmore Shpng's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ardmore Shpng often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ardmore Shpng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ardmore Shpng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Ardmore Stock analysis
When running Ardmore Shpng's price analysis, check to measure Ardmore Shpng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardmore Shpng is operating at the current time. Most of Ardmore Shpng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardmore Shpng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardmore Shpng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardmore Shpng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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