Abm Industries Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| ABM Stock | USD 51.04 0.32 0.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.5374 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6635 | Wall Street Target Price 58.8333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.8715 |
Using ABM Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ABM Industries Incorporated from the perspective of ABM Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
ABM Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ABM Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ABM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ABM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ABM Industries Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ABM Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ABM Industries.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ABM Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ABM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ABM Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 50.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ABM |
ABM Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ABM Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ABM Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ABM Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ABM Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ABM Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ABM Industries' historical news coverage. ABM Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.87 and 52.37, respectively. We have considered ABM Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ABM Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ABM Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
ABM Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ABM Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ABM Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ABM Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.74 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.04 | 50.62 | 0.02 |
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ABM Industries Hype Timeline
On the 27th of December ABM Industries is traded for 51.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. ABM is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on ABM Industries is about 666.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.36 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 81.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.13 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out ABM Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ABM Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ABM Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ABM Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how ABM Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ABM Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| G | Genpact Limited | (0.63) | 12 per month | 0.96 | 0.07 | 2.65 | (1.77) | 12.64 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | (0.49) | 10 per month | 0.70 | 0.08 | 1.62 | (1.14) | 7.01 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | 0.46 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.63 | (3.09) | 10.13 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.51 | (3.04) | 22.53 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | 0.78 | 12 per month | 5.89 | 0.25 | 19.49 | (14.06) | 56.37 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.99 | (3.59) | 28.03 | |
| NL | NL Industries | 0.07 | 5 per month | 3.51 | 0.08 | 4.53 | (6.26) | 16.89 | |
| SQ | Block Inc | (2.44) | 8 per month | 1.99 | 0.15 | 6.14 | (3.08) | 19.52 |
ABM Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ABM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ABM using various technical indicators. When you analyze ABM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ABM Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ABM Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ABM Industries Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ABM Industries based on analysis of ABM Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ABM Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ABM Industries's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0166 | 0.0174 | 0.0253 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.49 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
Story Coverage note for ABM Industries
The number of cover stories for ABM Industries depends on current market conditions and ABM Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ABM Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ABM Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ABM Industries Short Properties
ABM Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when ABM Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ABM Industries Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ABM Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABM Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.6 M |
Check out ABM Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ABM Industries. If investors know ABM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ABM Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share 129.802 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 | Return On Assets 0.0327 |
The market value of ABM Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ABM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ABM Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ABM Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ABM Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ABM Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ABM Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ABM Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ABM Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.