Trend Micro Adr Stock Performance

TMICY Stock  USD 39.94  0.33  0.82%   
The entity has a beta of 0.38, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trend Micro's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trend Micro is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Trend Micro ADR has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to validate Trend Micro's coefficient of variation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Trend Micro ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trend Micro ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow174.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities2.6 B
  

Trend Micro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,097  in Trend Micro ADR on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,103) from holding Trend Micro ADR or give up 21.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trend Micro ADR is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.7473% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Trend, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trend Micro is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Trend Micro Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trend Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.94 90 days 39.94 
about 91.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trend Micro to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.67 (This Trend Micro ADR probability density function shows the probability of Trend Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trend Micro has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trend Micro average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trend Micro ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trend Micro ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trend Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trend Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trend Micro ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trend Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.1639.9441.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9732.7543.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.7738.5540.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.2941.3443.38
Details

Trend Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trend Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trend Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trend Micro ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trend Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
4.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Trend Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trend Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trend Micro ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trend Micro ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Trend Micro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trend Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trend Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trend Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments256.8 B

Trend Micro Fundamentals Growth

Trend Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trend Micro, and Trend Micro fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trend Pink Sheet performance.

About Trend Micro Performance

Evaluating Trend Micro's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Trend Micro has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trend Micro has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Trend Micro Incorporated develops and sells security-related software for computers and the Internet primarily in Japan. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. TREND MICRO operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7024 people.

Things to note about Trend Micro ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trend Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Trend Micro ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trend Micro ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Evaluating Trend Micro's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trend Micro's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Trend Micro's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trend Micro's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trend Micro's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trend Micro's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trend Micro's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trend Micro's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Trend Micro's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trend Micro's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trend Micro's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Trend Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Trend Micro's price analysis, check to measure Trend Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trend Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Trend Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trend Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trend Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trend Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.