Thrivent Moderate Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

THMAX Fund  USD 16.41  0.02  0.12%   
The entity has a beta of -0.062, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thrivent Moderate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thrivent Moderate is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Thrivent Moderate Allocation are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Thrivent Moderate may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2023
Expense Ratio1.0600
  

Thrivent Moderate Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,477  in Thrivent Moderate Allocation on April 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  164.00  from holding Thrivent Moderate Allocation or generate 11.1% return on investment over 90 days. Thrivent Moderate Allocation is currently producing 0.1741% returns and takes up 0.5142% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Thrivent, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thrivent Moderate is expected to generate 1.1 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.51 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.25 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Thrivent Moderate Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
16.41
Please note that Thrivent Moderate's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Thrivent Moderate has a current Real Value of $15.65 per share. The regular price of the fund is $16.41. We determine the value of Thrivent Moderate from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Thrivent Moderate is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Thrivent Mutual Fund. However, Thrivent Moderate's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.41 Real  15.65 Hype  16.41 Naive  16.28
The intrinsic value of Thrivent Moderate's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Thrivent Moderate's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.65
Real Value
18.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Thrivent Moderate Allocation helps investors to forecast how Thrivent mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Thrivent Moderate more accurately as focusing exclusively on Thrivent Moderate's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.7316.1616.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9016.4116.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.7716.2816.79
Details

Thrivent Moderate Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thrivent Moderate's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Thrivent Moderate Allocation, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Thrivent Moderate's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.3385

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.51
  actual daily
4
96% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.17
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.34
  actual daily
26
74% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Thrivent Moderate is performing at about 26% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Thrivent Moderate by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Thrivent Moderate Fundamentals Growth

Thrivent Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Thrivent Moderate, and Thrivent Moderate fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Thrivent Mutual Fund performance.

About Thrivent Moderate Performance

Evaluating Thrivent Moderate's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Thrivent Moderate has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Thrivent Moderate has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its objective by investing in a combination of other funds managed by the Adviser and directly held financial instruments. It is designed for investors who seek moderate long-term capital growth with reasonable stability of principal and are comfortable with moderate levels of risk and volatility. The fund allocates 45-85 percent of its assets in equity securities, and 15-55 percent in debt securities.

Things to note about Thrivent Moderate performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thrivent Moderate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Thrivent Moderate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.36% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Thrivent Moderate's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Thrivent Moderate's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Thrivent Moderate's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Thrivent Moderate's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Thrivent Moderate's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Thrivent Moderate's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Thrivent Moderate's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Thrivent Moderate's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Thrivent Moderate's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Thrivent Moderate's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Thrivent Moderate's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund

Thrivent Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Moderate security.
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