Navan Class A Stock Performance
| NAVN Stock | 12.91 0.66 4.86% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.6, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Navan will likely underperform. At this point, Navan Class A has a negative expected return of -0.6%. Please make sure to verify Navan's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Navan Class A performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Navan Class A has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 262.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 44.9 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -51.4 M |
Navan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,027 in Navan Class A on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (736.00) from holding Navan Class A or give up 36.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. Navan Class A is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.1324% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Navan, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Navan Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Navan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.91 | 90 days | 12.91 | over 95.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.83 (This Navan Class A probability density function shows the probability of Navan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Navan will likely underperform. Additionally Navan Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Navan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navan Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Navan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navan Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Navan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navan Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navan Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navan Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Navan Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 536.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (181.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 432.67 M. | |
| Navan generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Navan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Navan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Navan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 248.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 305.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 22.2 M |
Navan Fundamentals Growth
Navan Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Navan, and Navan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Navan Stock performance.
| Profit Margin | (0.31) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.09) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 4.63 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 232.92 M | |||
| Price To Sales | 6.76 X | |||
| Revenue | 536.84 M | |||
| EBITDA | (70.62 M) | |||
| Total Debt | 672.43 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | (26.08) X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (50.41 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.76) X | |||
| Total Asset | 1.08 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (1.62 B) | |||
About Navan Performance
By examining Navan's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Navan's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Navan is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Things to note about Navan Class A performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Navan Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navan Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navan Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Navan Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 536.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (181.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 432.67 M. | |
| Navan generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Navan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Navan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Navan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Navan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Navan's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Navan's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Navan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Navan Class A. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Navan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navan. Anticipated expansion of Navan directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Navan data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Navan Class A requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Navan's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Navan's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Navan's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Navan's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Navan should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Navan's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.