Kinetics Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

KSOCX Fund  USD 145.42  0.02  0.01%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.36, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kinetics Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kinetics Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Kinetics Small Cap has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Expense Ratio2.3900
  

Kinetics Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,765  in Kinetics Small Cap on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,223) from holding Kinetics Small Cap or give up 13.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. Kinetics Small Cap is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.2463% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Kinetics, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kinetics Small is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.25 per unit of volatility.

Kinetics Small Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
145.42
Please note that Kinetics Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Kinetics Small Cap secures a last-minute Real Value of $134.51 per share. The latest price of the fund is $145.42. We determine the value of Kinetics Small Cap from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Kinetics Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kinetics Mutual Fund. However, Kinetics Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  145.42 Real  134.51 Hype  145.42 Naive  138.87
The intrinsic value of Kinetics Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kinetics Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
133.26
Downside
134.51
Real Value
159.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kinetics Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Kinetics mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kinetics Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kinetics Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
145.81151.37156.92
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.17145.42146.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
137.62138.87140.11
Details

Kinetics Small Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinetics Small's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Kinetics Small Cap, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Kinetics Small's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1777

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Negative ReturnsKSOCX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.25
  actual daily
11
89% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.22
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.18
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Kinetics Small is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Kinetics Small by adding Kinetics Small to a well-diversified portfolio.

Kinetics Small Fundamentals Growth

Kinetics Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kinetics Small, and Kinetics Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kinetics Mutual Fund performance.

About Kinetics Small Performance

Evaluating Kinetics Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Kinetics Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kinetics Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund is a non-diversified fund that invests all of its investable assets in the Small Cap Portfolio, a series of Kinetics Portfolios Trust. Kinetics Mutual is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Kinetics Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetics Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Kinetics Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinetics Small Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 7.56% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Kinetics Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kinetics Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Kinetics Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kinetics Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kinetics Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kinetics Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kinetics Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kinetics Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Kinetics Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kinetics Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kinetics Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Kinetics Mutual Fund

Kinetics Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinetics Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinetics with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Small security.
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