Firefly Aerospace Common Stock Performance
| FLY Stock | USD 23.88 1.48 6.61% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Firefly Aerospace holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.32, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Firefly Aerospace will likely underperform. Please check Firefly Aerospace's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Firefly Aerospace's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Firefly Aerospace Common are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile essential indicators, Firefly Aerospace showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.63 | Five Day Return (2.61) | Year To Date Return 0.51 | Ten Year Return (60.43) | All Time Return (60.43) |
1 | Firefly Aerospace Soars 16 percent on Russell 2000 Inclusion | 12/23/2025 |
2 | INVESTOR DEADLINE NEXT WEEK Robbins Geller Rudman Dowd LLP announces that Firefly Aerospace Inc. Investors with Substantial Losses Have Opportunity to Lead Clas... | 01/07/2026 |
3 | A Look At JLL Valuation After Earnings Momentum And Americas Leasing Leadership Change | 01/12/2026 |
4 | Firefly Aerospace Shares Down 5.5 percent Heres Why | 01/13/2026 |
5 | Voyager Technologies Firefly Aerospace Critical Contrast | 01/14/2026 |
6 | Firefly Aerospace vs. Voyager Technologies Head to Head Analysis | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Can Firefly Aerospaces Block II Avionics Shift Redefine Its Long-Term Competitive Edge | 01/27/2026 |
8 | York Space starts trading at 38 per share as CEO touts Golden Dome potential | 01/29/2026 |
9 | FLYHT Aerospace Solutions Stock Price Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average Heres Why | 02/06/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 95.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -32.7 M |
Firefly Aerospace Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,924 in Firefly Aerospace Common on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 464.00 from holding Firefly Aerospace Common or generate 24.12% return on investment over 90 days. Firefly Aerospace Common is generating 0.6689% of daily returns assuming volatility of 8.0596% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 72% of stocks are less volatile than Firefly, and above 87% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Firefly Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Firefly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 23.88 | 90 days | 23.88 | about 44.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firefly Aerospace to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.28 (This Firefly Aerospace Common probability density function shows the probability of Firefly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Firefly Aerospace Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Firefly Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firefly Aerospace Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Firefly Aerospace Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firefly Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firefly Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firefly Aerospace Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firefly Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Firefly Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firefly Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firefly Aerospace Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Firefly Aerospace is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Firefly Aerospace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 60.79 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (231.13 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (7.22 M). | |
| Firefly Aerospace Common has about 117.23 M in cash with (157.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.85. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FLYHT Aerospace Solutions Stock Price Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average Heres Why |
Firefly Aerospace Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firefly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firefly Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firefly Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.4 M |
Firefly Aerospace Fundamentals Growth
Firefly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Firefly Aerospace, and Firefly Aerospace fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Firefly Stock performance.
| Profit Margin | (2.59) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (1.00) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.47 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 140.55 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 3.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 67.66 X | ||||
| Revenue | 60.79 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | (7.22 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (198.22 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (231.13 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 117.23 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.85 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 168.4 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.44 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 9.89 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (61,020) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (157.65 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2,191) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.33 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 407.33 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (767.62 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.34 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 688.32 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.77 B | ||||
About Firefly Aerospace Performance
Evaluating Firefly Aerospace's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Firefly Aerospace has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Firefly Aerospace has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.83 | 2.52 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.68) | (0.72) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.06) | (1.11) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.65) | (0.69) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | 0.22 |
Things to note about Firefly Aerospace Common performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Firefly Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Firefly Aerospace Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Firefly Aerospace is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Firefly Aerospace appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 60.79 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (231.13 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (7.22 M). | |
| Firefly Aerospace Common has about 117.23 M in cash with (157.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.85. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FLYHT Aerospace Solutions Stock Price Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average Heres Why |
- Analyzing Firefly Aerospace's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Firefly Aerospace's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Firefly Aerospace's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Firefly Aerospace's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Firefly Aerospace's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Firefly Aerospace's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Firefly Aerospace's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis
When running Firefly Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Firefly Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.