Ambac Financial Group Performance

AMBCDelisted Stock  USD 8.98  0.21  2.39%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ambac Financial holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Ambac Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ambac Financial is expected to follow. Please check Ambac Financial's mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Ambac Financial's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ambac Financial Group are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Ambac Financial exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow19.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-166.4 M
  

Ambac Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  828.00  in Ambac Financial Group on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  70.00  from holding Ambac Financial Group or generate 8.45% return on investment over 90 days. Ambac Financial Group is currently generating 0.6912% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.0341% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 45% of stocks are less volatile than Ambac, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambac Financial is expected to generate 6.64 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Ambac Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ambac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.98 90 days 8.98 
about 34.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambac Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.3 (This Ambac Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Ambac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This suggests Ambac Financial Group market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ambac Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Ambac Financial Group has an alpha of 0.0884, implying that it can generate a 0.0884 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ambac Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ambac Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ambac Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.079.1014.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.667.6912.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.428.4613.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.738.789.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ambac Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ambac Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ambac Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ambac Financial Group.

Ambac Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ambac Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ambac Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ambac Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ambac Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ambac Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ambac Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ambac Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambac Financial is now traded under the symbol OSG. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Ambac Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Ambac Financial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ambac Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ambac Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Ambac Financial Group currently holds 150 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ambac Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 235.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.31 M.
Over 90.0% of Ambac Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Ambac Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ambac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ambac Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambac Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47 M
Cash And Short Term Investments331.9 M

Ambac Financial Fundamentals Growth

Ambac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ambac Financial, and Ambac Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ambac Stock performance.

About Ambac Financial Performance

By analyzing Ambac Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ambac Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ambac Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ambac Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Ambac Financial operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 132 people.

Things to note about Ambac Financial Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ambac Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ambac Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ambac Financial is now traded under the symbol OSG. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Ambac Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Ambac Financial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ambac Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ambac Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Ambac Financial Group currently holds 150 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ambac Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 235.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 147.31 M.
Over 90.0% of Ambac Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Ambac Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ambac Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ambac Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ambac Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ambac Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ambac Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ambac Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ambac Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ambac Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ambac Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ambac Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Ambac Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Ambac Financial Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ambac Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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