Vanguard Health Care Fund Market Value

VHCIX Fund  USD 121.76  0.90  0.73%   
Vanguard Health's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Health Care investors about its performance. Vanguard Health is trading at 121.76 as of the 21st of July 2025; that is 0.73 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 122.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Health Care and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Health over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Health Correlation, Vanguard Health Volatility and Vanguard Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Health.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Health's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Health.
0.00
04/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
07/21/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Health on April 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Health Care or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Health over 90 days. Vanguard Health is related to or competes with Vanguard Information, Vanguard Sumer, Vanguard Sumer, Vanguard Financials, and Vanguard Utilities. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Inde... More

Vanguard Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Health's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Health Care upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Health historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.62121.76122.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
120.89122.03123.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.35122.49123.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
121.17123.86126.55
Details

Vanguard Health Care Backtested Returns

Vanguard Health Care owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Health Care exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Health's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0255, semi deviation of 1.27, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3947.61 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Health is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Vanguard Health Care has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Health time series from 22nd of April 2025 to 6th of June 2025 and 6th of June 2025 to 21st of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Health Care price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Vanguard Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.47

Vanguard Health Care lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Health mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Health's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Health mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Health mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Health mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Health mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Health mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Health Care.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Health security.
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