Tri-County Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Tri-County Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tri County Financial Group investors about its performance. Tri-County Financial is trading at 45.00 as of the 26th of July 2025. This is a 0.83 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 45.0. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tri County Financial Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tri-County Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Tri-County Financial Correlation, Tri-County Financial Volatility and Tri-County Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tri-County Financial.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tri-County Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tri-County Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tri-County Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Tri-County Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tri-County Financial's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tri-County Financial.
0.00
04/27/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
07/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Tri-County Financial on April 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tri County Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tri-County Financial over 90 days. Tri-County Financial is related to or competes with Taylor Calvin, United Bancorporation, Virginia National, Lyons Bancorp, and Two Rivers. Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First State Bank that provides various banking p... More
Tri-County Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tri-County Financial's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tri County Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tri-County Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tri-County Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tri-County Financial historical prices to predict the future Tri-County Financial's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tri-County Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tri-County Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tri-County Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tri County Financial.
Tri County Financial Backtested Returns
At this point, Tri-County Financial is very steady. Tri County Financial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the firm had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Tri County Financial Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Tri-County Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.129, downside deviation of 0.7862, and Standard Deviation of 0.5078 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0936%. Tri-County Financial has a performance score of 14 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.039, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tri-County Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tri-County Financial is likely to outperform the market. Tri County Financial right now has a risk of 0.52%. Please validate Tri-County Financial downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Tri-County Financial will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation
0.26
Poor predictability
Tri County Financial Group has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tri-County Financial time series from 27th of April 2025 to 11th of June 2025 and 11th of June 2025 to 26th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tri County Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Tri-County Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.26
Spearman Rank Test
0.06
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.75
Tri County Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tri-County Financial otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tri-County Financial's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tri-County Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tri-County Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Tri-County Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tri-County Financial otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tri-County Financial otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tri-County Financial otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Tri-County Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tri-County Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tri-County Financial otc stock have on its future price. Tri-County Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tri-County Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tri-County Financial otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tri County Financial Group.
Other Information on Investing in Tri-County OTC Stock
Tri-County Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tri-County OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tri-County with respect to the benefits of owning Tri-County Financial security.