Topicus Stock Market Value
| TOITF Stock | USD 132.56 0.54 0.41% |
| Symbol | Topicus |
Topicus 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Topicus' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Topicus.
| 05/12/2025 |
| 08/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Topicus on May 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Topicus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Topicus over 90 days. Topicus is related to or competes with LATAM Airlines, Frontier Group, Gentex, Rivian Automotive, Ryanair Holdings, and Modine Manufacturing. Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in Europe More
Topicus Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Topicus' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Topicus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0409 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.62) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.57 |
Topicus Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Topicus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Topicus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Topicus historical prices to predict the future Topicus' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0862 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0818 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0388 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1949 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Topicus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Topicus Backtested Returns
At this point, Topicus is very steady. Topicus owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0492, which indicates the firm had a 0.0492 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Topicus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Topicus' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0862, semi deviation of 1.75, and Coefficient Of Variation of 972.72 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0924%. Topicus has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.99, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Topicus returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Topicus is expected to follow. Topicus right now has a risk of 1.88%. Please validate Topicus potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Topicus will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.16 |
Very weak predictability
Topicus has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Topicus time series from 12th of May 2025 to 26th of June 2025 and 26th of June 2025 to 10th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Topicus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Topicus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.16 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 26.73 |
Topicus lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Topicus pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Topicus' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Topicus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Topicus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Topicus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Topicus pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Topicus pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Topicus pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Topicus Lagged Returns
When evaluating Topicus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Topicus pink sheet have on its future price. Topicus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Topicus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Topicus pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Topicus.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Topicus Pink Sheet
Topicus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Topicus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Topicus with respect to the benefits of owning Topicus security.