Topicus Stock Market Value
| TOITF Stock | USD 139.01 4.08 3.02% |
| Symbol | Topicus |
Topicus 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Topicus' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Topicus.
| 04/28/2025 |
| 07/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Topicus on April 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Topicus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Topicus over 90 days. Topicus is related to or competes with Perella Weinberg, Alaska Air, Summit Hotel, EastGroup Properties, JetBlue Airways, Arbor Realty, and Aegean Airlines. Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in Europe More
Topicus Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Topicus' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Topicus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0693 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.4 |
Topicus Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Topicus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Topicus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Topicus historical prices to predict the future Topicus' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1461 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3772 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0647 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.38) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Topicus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Topicus Backtested Returns
Topicus appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Topicus owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the firm had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Topicus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Topicus' Semi Deviation of 1.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.1461, and Coefficient Of Variation of 553.2 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Topicus holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of -0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Topicus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Topicus is likely to outperform the market. Please check Topicus' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Topicus' existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.68 |
Good predictability
Topicus has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Topicus time series from 28th of April 2025 to 12th of June 2025 and 12th of June 2025 to 27th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Topicus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Topicus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.68 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 45.29 |
Topicus lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Topicus pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Topicus' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Topicus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Topicus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Topicus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Topicus pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Topicus pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Topicus pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Topicus Lagged Returns
When evaluating Topicus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Topicus pink sheet have on its future price. Topicus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Topicus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Topicus pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Topicus.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| USOI | Credit Suisse X Links | |
| ULTY | Tidal Trust II | |
| CONY | YieldMax N Option | |
| BCAT | BlackRock Capital Allocation | |
| PDI | Pimco Dynamic Income |
Other Information on Investing in Topicus Pink Sheet
Topicus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Topicus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Topicus with respect to the benefits of owning Topicus security.