Tredegar Stock Market Value
| TG Stock | USD 7.32 0.19 2.53% |
| Symbol | Tredegar |
Is Steel Works Etc space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tredegar. If investors know Tredegar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tredegar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tredegar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tredegar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tredegar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tredegar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tredegar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tredegar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tredegar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tredegar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tredegar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Tredegar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tredegar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tredegar.
| 05/17/2025 |
| 08/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tredegar on May 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tredegar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tredegar over 90 days. Tredegar is related to or competes with Mayville Engineering, Insteel Industries, Northwest Pipe, Ampco Pittsburgh, Standex International, Myers Industries, and TrueBlue. Tredegar Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, polyethylene films, and poly... More
Tredegar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tredegar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tredegar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.87 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.80) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.79 |
Tredegar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tredegar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tredegar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tredegar historical prices to predict the future Tredegar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4077 |
Tredegar Backtested Returns
Tredegar owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0578, which indicates the firm had a -0.0578 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tredegar exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tredegar's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,729), variance of 5.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tredegar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tredegar is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Tredegar has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Tredegar's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Tredegar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Tredegar has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tredegar time series from 17th of May 2025 to 1st of July 2025 and 1st of July 2025 to 15th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tredegar price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Tredegar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.75 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.24 |
Tredegar lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tredegar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tredegar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tredegar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tredegar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tredegar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tredegar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tredegar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tredegar stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tredegar Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tredegar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tredegar stock have on its future price. Tredegar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tredegar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tredegar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tredegar.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Tredegar Correlation, Tredegar Volatility and Tredegar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tredegar. For more detail on how to invest in Tredegar Stock please use our How to Invest in Tredegar guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Tredegar technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.