Trico Bancshares Stock Market Value

TCBK Stock  USD 40.26  0.86  2.09%   
TriCo Bancshares' market value is the price at which a share of TriCo Bancshares trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TriCo Bancshares investors about its performance. TriCo Bancshares is selling for 40.26 as of the 3rd of August 2025. This is a 2.09 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 39.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TriCo Bancshares and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TriCo Bancshares over a given investment horizon. Check out TriCo Bancshares Correlation, TriCo Bancshares Volatility and TriCo Bancshares Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TriCo Bancshares.
For more information on how to buy TriCo Stock please use our How to buy in TriCo Stock guide.
Symbol

TriCo Bancshares Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TriCo Bancshares. If investors know TriCo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TriCo Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
3.39
Revenue Per Share
11.709
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.015
The market value of TriCo Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TriCo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TriCo Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TriCo Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TriCo Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TriCo Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TriCo Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TriCo Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TriCo Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TriCo Bancshares 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TriCo Bancshares' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TriCo Bancshares.
0.00
05/05/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
08/03/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TriCo Bancshares on May 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TriCo Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in TriCo Bancshares over 90 days. TriCo Bancshares is related to or competes with Community West, Finward Bancorp, Home Bancorp, Heritage Financial, Lakeland Financial, Plumas Bancorp, and Stock Yards. TriCo Bancshares operates as a bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank that provides commercial banking services to i... More

TriCo Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TriCo Bancshares' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TriCo Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TriCo Bancshares Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TriCo Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TriCo Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TriCo Bancshares historical prices to predict the future TriCo Bancshares' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.7540.2541.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.2343.2444.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.6940.2041.70
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.7145.8350.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TriCo Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TriCo Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TriCo Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TriCo Bancshares.

TriCo Bancshares Backtested Returns

As of now, TriCo Stock is very steady. TriCo Bancshares owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0431, which indicates the firm had a 0.0431 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for TriCo Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate TriCo Bancshares' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0416, coefficient of variation of 2138.74, and Semi Deviation of 1.34 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0649%. TriCo Bancshares has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.3, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TriCo Bancshares will likely underperform. TriCo Bancshares right now has a risk of 1.5%. Please validate TriCo Bancshares sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if TriCo Bancshares will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

TriCo Bancshares has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TriCo Bancshares time series from 5th of May 2025 to 19th of June 2025 and 19th of June 2025 to 3rd of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TriCo Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current TriCo Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.12

TriCo Bancshares lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TriCo Bancshares stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TriCo Bancshares' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TriCo Bancshares returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TriCo Bancshares has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TriCo Bancshares regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TriCo Bancshares stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TriCo Bancshares stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TriCo Bancshares stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TriCo Bancshares Lagged Returns

When evaluating TriCo Bancshares' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TriCo Bancshares stock have on its future price. TriCo Bancshares autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TriCo Bancshares autocorrelation shows the relationship between TriCo Bancshares stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TriCo Bancshares.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet
When determining whether TriCo Bancshares is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if TriCo Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Trico Bancshares Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Trico Bancshares Stock:
Check out TriCo Bancshares Correlation, TriCo Bancshares Volatility and TriCo Bancshares Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TriCo Bancshares.
For more information on how to buy TriCo Stock please use our How to buy in TriCo Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
TriCo Bancshares technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of TriCo Bancshares technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of TriCo Bancshares trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...