Trico Bancshares Stock Market Value
| TCBK Stock | USD 44.44 0.44 0.98% |
| Symbol | TriCo |
TriCo Bancshares Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TriCo Bancshares. If investors know TriCo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TriCo Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share 3.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
The market value of TriCo Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TriCo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TriCo Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TriCo Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TriCo Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TriCo Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TriCo Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TriCo Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TriCo Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
TriCo Bancshares 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TriCo Bancshares' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TriCo Bancshares.
| 05/27/2025 |
| 08/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TriCo Bancshares on May 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TriCo Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in TriCo Bancshares over 90 days. TriCo Bancshares is related to or competes with Community West, Finward Bancorp, Home Bancorp, Heritage Financial, Lakeland Financial, Plumas Bancorp, and Stock Yards. TriCo Bancshares operates as a bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank that provides commercial banking services to i... More
TriCo Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TriCo Bancshares' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TriCo Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0348 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.28 |
TriCo Bancshares Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TriCo Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TriCo Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TriCo Bancshares historical prices to predict the future TriCo Bancshares' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0774 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.04 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0902 |
TriCo Bancshares Backtested Returns
As of now, TriCo Stock is very steady. TriCo Bancshares owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for TriCo Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate TriCo Bancshares' Semi Deviation of 1.32, coefficient of variation of 1028.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0774 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. TriCo Bancshares has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.69, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TriCo Bancshares will likely underperform. TriCo Bancshares right now has a risk of 1.63%. Please validate TriCo Bancshares sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if TriCo Bancshares will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
TriCo Bancshares has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TriCo Bancshares time series from 27th of May 2025 to 11th of July 2025 and 11th of July 2025 to 25th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TriCo Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current TriCo Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.06 |
TriCo Bancshares lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TriCo Bancshares stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TriCo Bancshares' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TriCo Bancshares returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TriCo Bancshares has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TriCo Bancshares regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TriCo Bancshares stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TriCo Bancshares stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TriCo Bancshares stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TriCo Bancshares Lagged Returns
When evaluating TriCo Bancshares' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TriCo Bancshares stock have on its future price. TriCo Bancshares autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TriCo Bancshares autocorrelation shows the relationship between TriCo Bancshares stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TriCo Bancshares.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out TriCo Bancshares Correlation, TriCo Bancshares Volatility and TriCo Bancshares Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TriCo Bancshares. For more information on how to buy TriCo Stock please use our How to buy in TriCo Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
TriCo Bancshares technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.